NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x720543ee5b88468774f905d5c8bc9dc2997f28be994337c10b379e8f4300c886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 40c | 1,038$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Wild | 60c | 1,028$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.37 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wild | 77c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 20c | 268.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Wild | 67c | 234.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars | 24c | 220.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…4e26backed Stars | 46c | 208.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Stars | 16c | 200.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 31c | 196.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 22c | 172.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stars | 27c | 124.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Stars | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Stars | 18c | 111.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wild | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Stars | 20c | 102.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wild | 61c | 96.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Stars | 32c | 94.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Wild | 70c | 90.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Stars | 30c | 80.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Stars | 32c | 79.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Stars | 25c | 70.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Stars | 26c | 69.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stars | 27c | 68.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Wild | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Stars | 30c | 57.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Wild | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Stars | 31c | 37.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Stars | 35c | 36.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Wild | 60c | 30.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Wild | 70c | 26.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Wild | 70c | 24.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…b7a0backed Wild | 61c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. StarsStars won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.