TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf36a…25ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.95
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.84
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.87
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.63
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Spread: Heat (-18.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$453.4
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.61
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.5
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.99
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$226.7
Spread: Thunder (-22.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$233.09
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$44.64
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.8
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$64.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.94
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.7
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.35
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.46
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.97
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$525
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$651
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$64.63
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.48
Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$394.33
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.5
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$137.54
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$254.71
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39.88
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$101
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.89
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.17
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.