TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Kraken, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$762,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$798,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $762,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 682 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche68c184,875$124,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,946.5822443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kraken32c80,000$25,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,799.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken33c45,032$14,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,798.091,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Avalanche67c40,000$26,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.968657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Kraken34c27,995$9,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,481.482347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Kraken29c25,000$7,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,149.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken34c24,149$8,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,330.481,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken37c22,441$8,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,356.0761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken33c16,378$5,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,379.792,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kraken37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.8950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kraken15c14,235$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.215949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche65c12,556$8,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3473164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaac7…776bbacked Kraken0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken36c11,676$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150.161,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche67c11,076$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.2540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Kraken34c9,855$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.72035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Avalanche64c9,273$5,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.3464242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche65c8,600$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,01025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…ae23backed Kraken3c8,334$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken39c7,785$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.1585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Kraken31c7,756$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.371435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche76c6,288$4,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.432,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche64c6,283$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.351,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kraken31c6,219$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.242948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Kraken31c6,037$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.4241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Kraken36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1603151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken29c5,935$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.521,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Avalanche61c5,805$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.5813850.7%70 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche70c5,360$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.5789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Kraken32c5,328$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.963240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Avalanche67c5,207$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.088852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Kraken38c5,141$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.5625447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Kraken32c5,105$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.47944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Avalanche63c5,031$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.632085%17 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc7de…4a98backed Kraken0c5,019$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…3838backed Kraken20c5,008$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Kraken37c4,950$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.3313446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Kraken37c4,867$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Kraken22c4,767$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.4522043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Kraken34c4,595$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.0210941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Avalanche67c4,493$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+86.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1188…cd0bbacked Kraken2c4,282$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Avalanche73c4,088$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.3930259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Kraken32c4,076$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Kraken32c3,610$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.6413437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Avalanche62c3,521$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.91656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeccc…6962backed Avalanche62c3,325$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche73c3,179$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.1289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Avalanche64c3,178$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.8833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche65c3,111$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.212,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kraken36c3,100$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1165552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Kraken33c3,064$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611f…b58fbacked Avalanche61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Kraken34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.997737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken33c2,966$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.521,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Kraken36c2,914$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked Kraken32c2,850$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Avalanche62c2,806$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.1883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Avalanche62c2,798$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.8210663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Kraken33c2,765$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.9210346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Avalanche66c2,646$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.3836948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Avalanche63c2,630$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.14450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche65c2,487$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Avalanche64c2,428$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.1324952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Avalanche64c2,385$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.4816546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Kraken32c2,305$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kraken35c2,290$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.5726750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Kraken35c2,222$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.2211047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Avalanche62c2,128$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.541233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kraken34c2,113$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.7376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e07…9846backed Kraken1c2,015$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Kraken33c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Avalanche61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Avalanche62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche68c1,968$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.61,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe996…308bbacked Kraken36c1,944$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Avalanche69c1,940$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4839…ccb0backed Avalanche64c1,753$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0058…44c9backed Kraken36c1,740$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Avalanche62c1,737$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.055541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Kraken32c1,720$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.996737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Avalanche63c1,704$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.481275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+79.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kraken22c1,682$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9214946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Avalanche67c1,671$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.814942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Avalanche64c1,650$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kraken37c1,603$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6122946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Avalanche63c1,602$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.274438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Avalanche63c1,540$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.26953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kraken33c1,520$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.451,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Avalanche67c1,495$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.378252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Avalanche66c1,468$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.712060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kraken23c1,366$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.571,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Kraken35c1,359$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5911152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Avalanche68c1,343$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7310367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken35c1,329$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.32,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Kraken38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Avalanche67c1,307$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.461861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Avalanche66c1,301$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.313655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Avalanche70c1,300$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.