TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb525…bdc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
447
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT25845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 258 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.13
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.43
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$210.64
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,567.2
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,841.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,829.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$204.36
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,833.99
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.51
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,209.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$685.71
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$506.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$234.38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,924Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,792.17
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$818.49
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will MIBR.LOS make playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,618.18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,125
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$847.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,555.56
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked MEIA NOITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.1
Showing 25 of 258 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$417.72
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$920.41
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$630.1
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.69
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$95.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,229.89
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$334.37
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.45
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$619.6
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$301.73
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$231.46
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.1
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$417.78
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$3,192.92
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,255.45
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$756.33
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$392.72
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.78
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.75
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,073.06
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,942.4
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,417.19
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.27
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$77.38
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.12
Spread: LV (-1.5)backed HOU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.3
Cowboys vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: MIA (-3.5)backed WAS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$1,404.06
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$287
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$580.23
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$65.16
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$689.31
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,597.04
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,907Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.9%+$3,721.13
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$1,062.5
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,636.36
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,192.89
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,072.83
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+89.8%+$450.6
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$719.61
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$354.3
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$991.8
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+70.7%+$423.98
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$636.06
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$862.34
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,064.04
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,583Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,481.38
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,344.33
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.45
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$648.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$1,792.04
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$269.57
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.77
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,153.85
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520.28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.09
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.53
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.13
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$622.69
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,165.32
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,572Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$536.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,374
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$277.39
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$374.96
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.34
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$330.71
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$427.87
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37%+$232.39
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.3%+$292.12
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$253.94
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,630.22
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$680.02
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$482.24
Spread: Clemson (-2.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$333.85
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$833.9
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+261.3%+$623.1
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+74.6%+$1,492.41
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,561.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.93
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.64
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-11.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.43
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,465.46
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,367.56
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$273.28
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,983Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$2,307.11
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,195.12
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,886Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,053.44
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,603.26
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$805.65
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,791Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$2,737.3
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,751Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.2%+$3,931.1
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,583Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,766.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$533.73
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.15
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.67
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.09
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$601.48
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,439.02
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,994.23
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,469.92
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.2%+$4,467.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$176.79
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$911.06
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$450
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,988Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$812
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+39%+$780.79
All 5 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$673.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.