TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, BET-M 33
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed BET-M 3357c8,300$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.9766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked BET-M 3343c4,435$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.0435847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY67c2,113$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.183,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked ex-RUBY43c1,988$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.91,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb003…d9c9backed ex-RUBY40c1,480$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed BET-M 3358c1,420$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.931,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked ex-RUBY42c1,368$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.5217448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed ex-RUBY43c1,323$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.1122142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed BET-M 3359c1,046$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.3220743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed ex-RUBY44c971.68$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.687138%27 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed BET-M 3358c875.86$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked ex-RUBY43c809.3$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.33850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed ex-RUBY41c750$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed BET-M 3360c749.05$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4325845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY45c718.55$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.072,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed ex-RUBY42c708$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7214151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked ex-RUBY42c696.3$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8234140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY38c691.61$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.85,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed ex-RUBY48c681.61$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.274060%24 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed ex-RUBY43c672.23$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.171421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BET-M 3326c626.97$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0161034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a0…6d52backed ex-RUBY43c590.7$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY63c571$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.615,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed ex-RUBY45c505.43$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.985046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed BET-M 3346c500$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23112344.7%55 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed BET-M 3363c498.64$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.173246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked BET-M 3331c493.84$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.431942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed BET-M 3343c419.63$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6767372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked BET-M 3360c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ex-RUBY51c412.27$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7288330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BET-M 3349c408.15$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.469445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed ex-RUBY42c385.4$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5348240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 3339c379.42$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1b…65d7backed BET-M 3355c365.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189f…f4f3backed ex-RUBY43c362.13$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.411450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed ex-RUBY42c348$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8422342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUBY40c335.09$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7399148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked BET-M 337c334.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6875833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed ex-RUBY48c298.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8235839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8d…6db9backed ex-RUBY46c282.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ex-RUBY70c267.01$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.11,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked BET-M 3328c250$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.59933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed BET-M 3352c244.54$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.994454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b03…d5cdbacked ex-RUBY41c242.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed ex-RUBY71c239$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7815349.7%76 W · 77 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed ex-RUBY43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5625252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUBY43c223.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.831,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…38eebacked ex-RUBY39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.131435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUBY61c183.51$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.592,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed ex-RUBY52c182.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.194353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BET-M 3323c182.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.344,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked BET-M 3355c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 3324c172.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.64,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff6…dc1bbacked ex-RUBY40c172$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed ex-RUBY59c151.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6419953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed BET-M 3355c150.19$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4916847.6%80 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed ex-RUBY43c139.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7912340.7%50 W · 73 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY47c137.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.383,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUBY52c132$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.362,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed BET-M 3354c122.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9333849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8213…711cbacked ex-RUBY67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed BET-M 3356c118.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.631,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed ex-RUBY43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.128936%32 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed ex-RUBY40c115.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.091392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+55.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed BET-M 3350c115.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7547054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed ex-RUBY43c113.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5512754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed BET-M 3353c113.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0121950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked BET-M 3358c110.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.257967.1%53 W · 26 L+10.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf46…24babacked ex-RUBY42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.642050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 3325c104.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.214,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe67f…c3f3backed ex-RUBY41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed BET-M 3360c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…7a52backed ex-RUBY38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked BET-M 3359c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cc5…6984backed BET-M 3359c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…c5fdbacked ex-RUBY51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked BET-M 3327c98.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6520447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked ex-RUBY43c97.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.674845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed ex-RUBY44c92.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1414344.1%63 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed BET-M 3358c84.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1355749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed ex-RUBY46c82.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed BET-M 3359c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUBY46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed ex-RUBY44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.98655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2a…0fdbbacked ex-RUBY46c73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed ex-RUBY54c72.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0151755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…2793backed ex-RUBY72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BET-M 3357c66.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.882,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-RUBY44c65.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8491945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUBY50c65.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39f…1ac4backed ex-RUBY42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed BET-M 3344c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.622,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…91febacked BET-M 3352c56.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed ex-RUBY45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.567243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed ex-RUBY43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4921454.2%116 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda0…d3adbacked ex-RUBY43c52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed BET-M 3333c51.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.846251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked ex-RUBY36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328842%37 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed BET-M 3356c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9918543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa584…c9adbacked BET-M 3358c49.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.