CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbabbad3b7b661b8f74b641743e8a228808a17971db2057edd8112ac9bb5314ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, BET-M 33
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 2,771$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.53 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 2,634$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.23 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 1,686$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.54 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 1,188$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.41 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 42c | 1,102$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.35 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 1,023$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.11 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 772.66$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed BET-M 33 | 43c | 768$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed BET-M 33 | 49c | 749.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 681.08$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed BET-M 33 | 33c | 575.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 43c | 554.03$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 28c | 530.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 461.04$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed BET-M 33 | 43c | 432$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked BET-M 33 | 35c | 399.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed BET-M 33 | 39c | 254.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 253.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BET-M 33 | 35c | 219.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed BET-M 33 | 27c | 208$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 188.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed BET-M 33 | 35c | 187.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BET-M 33 | 31c | 153$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked BET-M 33 | 33c | 151.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 33 | 30c | 150.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 146$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BET-M 33 | 43c | 143.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked BET-M 33 | 25c | 127.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 121.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33 | 30c | 109.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed BET-M 33 | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BET-M 33 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BET-M 33 | 23c | 90.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked BET-M 33 | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 45c | 85.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed BET-M 33 | 43c | 82.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 80.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed BET-M 33 | 35c | 77.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed BET-M 33 | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed BET-M 33 | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed BET-M 33 | 47c | 60.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BET-M 33 | 28c | 56.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BET-M 33 | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 45.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed BET-M 33 | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…4b22backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BET-M 33 | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 32.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed BET-M 33 | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.