TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f0c…a691

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
997
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT62050.6%314 W · 306 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 620 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+171%+$17.66
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.02
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$8.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+186%+$18.86
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$17.17
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$15.21
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
LoL: Capybara Esports vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winnerbacked Capybara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$17.12
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$13.06
LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Maze Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.04
LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tung Tung Bogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$8.68
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$13.15
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Showing 25 of 620 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT21049.5%104 W · 106 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$9.21
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Spirit Academy (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.92
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Bbacked Kaleido Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$17.7
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.26
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$7.71
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Younglings - Map 2 Winnerbacked Younglings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$17.38
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winnerbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$19.86
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$15.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$12.03
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$10.72
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$7.01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$8.06
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$12.01
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10144.6%45 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.68
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+222%+$22.75
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$8.26
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$9.62
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$9.81
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85%+$14.7
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.53
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$12.08
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+227.8%+$49.34
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+198.3%+$34.57
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.68
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$44.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+186.1%+$59.84
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.43
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$58.88
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.23
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.