CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc749defd01a7be54f94490792eec74c8b9ca35eaacf9f5826236f2a4edcef666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HAVU | 0c | 47,625$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Black Phoenix | 74c | 2,412$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.26 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Black Phoenix | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 76c | 897.55$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…e320backed HAVU | 34c | 847.12$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed HAVU | 30c | 669.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked HAVU | 29c | 664.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HAVU | 4c | 611.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed HAVU | 33c | 441.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 25c | 438.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked HAVU | 38c | 429.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HAVU | 23c | 413.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 33c | 389.03$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HAVU | 26c | 383.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 6c | 338$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HAVU | 11c | 259.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed HAVU | 11c | 213.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed HAVU | 34c | 200.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…7acbbacked HAVU | 26c | 192.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HAVU | 16c | 191.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked Black Phoenix | 70c | 175.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed HAVU | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed HAVU | 33c | 129.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed HAVU | 36c | 124.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…82abbacked HAVU | 36c | 107.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Black Phoenix | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 363 | 46%167 W · 196 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Black Phoenix | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed HAVU | 40c | 92.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked HAVU | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed HAVU | 38c | 75.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Black Phoenix | 70c | 65.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Black Phoenix | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HAVU | 24c | 57.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HAVU | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Black Phoenix | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed HAVU | 40c | 51.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 45.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 42.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…105abacked HAVU | 34c | 42.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed HAVU | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix | 75c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 73c | 28.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Black Phoenix | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…554cbacked HAVU | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Black Phoenix | 79c | 24.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Black Phoenix | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 68c | 19.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…8ae1backed Black Phoenix | 68c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Black Phoenix | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.