CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ec36576c2f74f81fe0fb723536c1b5fc226466ff1db0d25c0753a9beb10911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HAVU | 20c | 1,679$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.53 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HAVU | 38c | 800$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.19 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked HAVU | 38c | 681.08$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 70c | 650.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HAVU | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 554.27$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 522.5$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed HAVU | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked HAVU | 23c | 477.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked HAVU | 37c | 385.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed Black Phoenix | 63c | 352.66$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 327$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…cecdbacked Black Phoenix | 63c | 322.22$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 71c | 281.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 274$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked HAVU | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked HAVU | 36c | 250.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked HAVU | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix | 66c | 194.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed HAVU | 21c | 173.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Black Phoenix | 63c | 136.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed HAVU | 41c | 132.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HAVU | 17c | 126.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Black Phoenix | 79c | 119.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 462 | 47.8%221 W · 241 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Black Phoenix | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 108.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed HAVU | 40c | 88.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 404 | 39.6%160 W · 244 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Black Phoenix | 63c | 75.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…123dbacked HAVU | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 70.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…279fbacked Black Phoenix | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked HAVU | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked HAVU | 41c | 62.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked HAVU | 22c | 57.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked HAVU | 35c | 56.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HAVU | 31c | 47.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…106cbacked Black Phoenix | 71c | 42.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 37c | 37.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…6322backed Black Phoenix | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b04…f8e5backed Black Phoenix | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Black Phoenix | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Black Phoenix | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 519 | 69.2%359 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…74b7backed Black Phoenix | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…7801backed Black Phoenix | 71c | 14.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.