CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929a48df711cadae983578961e1e18375bc3689048f41d086a5f9e5f2789acb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof Black Phoenix, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Black Phoenix | 65c | 2,057$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNiTY esports | 44c | 833.17$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.62 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 600$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked UNiTY esports | 54c | 537.63$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 402 | 54%217 W · 185 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 389.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 314.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 175 | 42.9%75 W · 100 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 46c | 309.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed UNiTY esports | 34c | 308.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 843 | 43.3%365 W · 478 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed UNiTY esports | 40c | 251$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 611 | 42.7%261 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 222$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNiTY esports | 46c | 205.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 340 | 49.7%169 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UNiTY esports | 45c | 196.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked UNiTY esports | 34c | 176.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Black Phoenix | 61c | 157.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed UNiTY esports | 30c | 142.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed UNiTY esports | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 448 | 75.7%339 W · 109 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 129.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 2,674 | 51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed UNiTY esports | 36c | 123.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed UNiTY esports | 31c | 103$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 1,161 | 42.2%490 W · 671 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked UNiTY esports | 32c | 92.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed UNiTY esports | 52c | 85.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 549 | 49.4%271 W · 278 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…ba9ebacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 77.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 51.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 48.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked UNiTY esports | 38c | 43.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked UNiTY esports | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked UNiTY esports | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,450 | 52.9%767 W · 683 L | +34.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed UNiTY esports | 49c | 39.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed UNiTY esports | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 472 | 63.6%300 W · 172 L | +51.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed UNiTY esports | 40c | 37.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked UNiTY esports | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked UNiTY esports | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked UNiTY esports | 68c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 355 | 62.3%221 W · 134 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.