CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8420063a600cdea570d33dfa32d307c4b11f0e20cd9bb65d8aeaad97b6f81850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed UNiTY esports | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.94 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 756.89$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed UNiTY esports | 36c | 364.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Black Phoenix | 69c | 196.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 183.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 172.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 59c | 171.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 147.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Black Phoenix | 63c | 132.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 55c | 117.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked UNiTY esports | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed UNiTY esports | 30c | 82.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 71.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed UNiTY esports | 38c | 68.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 60.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9746…5900backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 58.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked UNiTY esports | 42c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 49.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 69c | 41.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed UNiTY esports | 37c | 35.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 34.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 61c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.