Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba31a59ae7b92571ff0f2a6f5bf8843fa88d5c9f4d0d962d21917ba0b2bdb42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,939,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,859,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,939,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Spirit | 44c | 5,223,963$2,285,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938,595.92 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…f4dbbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 882,826$494,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494,508.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 690,480$381,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381,942.21 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 600,000$336,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335,999.88 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…644cbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 360,096$276,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,026.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 300,000$168,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 227,273$127,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,272.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 192,952$108,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,940.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked TEAM VISION | 50c | 176,466$87,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,733.1 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Team Spirit | 52c | 153,011$78,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,066.43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 150,000$83,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,500 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed TEAM VISION | 35c | 147,333$51,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,696.63 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TEAM VISION | 49c | 138,645$67,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,555.43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TEAM VISION | 57c | 131,755$75,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,066.93 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed TEAM VISION | 51c | 129,918$65,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,811.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 48c | 109,161$52,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,510.8 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 100,296$50,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,379.36 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 96,000$55,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,219.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 84,000$46,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,719.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 83,360$47,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,514.94 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 82,333$32,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,639.65 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 80,250$46,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,139.98 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…59bfbacked TEAM VISION | 57c | 79,756$45,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,461.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 76,566$42,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,942.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 72,388$41,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,984.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 72,246$41,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,649.46 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 66,565$37,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,542.24 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed TEAM VISION | 53c | 60,138$31,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,641.7 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 60,077$33,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,927.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit | 45c | 58,675$26,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,990.12 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked TEAM VISION | 53c | 58,000$30,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,516.54 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 57,854$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TEAM VISION | 42c | 56,397$23,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,435.77 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked TEAM VISION | 52c | 53,263$27,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,692.46 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 51,485$25,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,681.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 50,384$28,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,309.54 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 49,506$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit | 54c | 48,330$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,329.57 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked TEAM VISION | 52c | 44,816$23,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,442.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed TEAM VISION | 53c | 44,743$23,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,859.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…229fbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 44,612$24,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,982.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 43,995$17,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,158.66 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…de2fbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 43,963$24,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,586.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 43,796$24,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,601.42 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TEAM VISION | 48c | 43,330$20,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,907.27 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed TEAM VISION | 51c | 43,064$21,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,878.71 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed TEAM VISION | 31c | 42,177$13,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,282.92 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 63c | 41,273$26,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,197 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked TEAM VISION | 57c | 41,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…aeaabacked TEAM VISION | 37c | 39,520$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed TEAM VISION | 72c | 38,921$28,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,119.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 50c | 38,117$18,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,209.05 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed TEAM VISION | 53c | 37,969$20,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,305.89 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Spirit | 47c | 36,549$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,548.85 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 35,928$20,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,357.74 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Team Spirit | 69c | 35,161$24,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,899.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,949.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed TEAM VISION | 31c | 33,816$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600.14 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked TEAM VISION | 40c | 32,158$12,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,793.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed TEAM VISION | 46c | 32,091$14,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,885.58 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked TEAM VISION | 58c | 31,293$18,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,007.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked TEAM VISION | 62c | 31,029$19,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,176.31 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed TEAM VISION | 51c | 30,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 30,000$15,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,656.23 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 29,414$16,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,765.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…0d30backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 28,080$15,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,724.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked TEAM VISION | 47c | 27,772$13,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,123.23 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 26,428$14,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,611.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 26,353$18,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,294.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…b418backed Team Spirit | 58c | 25,210$14,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,529.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…c6aabacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 24,999$13,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked TEAM VISION | 48c | 24,498$11,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,803.95 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…97dbbacked TEAM VISION | 45c | 24,489$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 23,968$12,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,954.73 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 23,451$10,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,737.56 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 23,260$13,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,008.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked TEAM VISION | 53c | 23,183$12,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,296 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 23,175$13,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,450.38 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…8309backed Team Spirit | 45c | 22,802$10,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,532.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked TEAM VISION | 49c | 22,773$11,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,114.08 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…fd1ebacked Team Spirit | 43c | 22,601$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,882.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Team Spirit | 64c | 22,436$14,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,996.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 22,222$12,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,666.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed TEAM VISION | 77c | 21,683$16,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,644 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…a3a3backed Team Spirit | 45c | 21,409$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,727.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked TEAM VISION | 25c | 20,762$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.2 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked TEAM VISION | 54c | 20,650$11,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,172.71 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 20,288$10,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,549.73 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 20,000$10,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,386.77 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 52c | 19,029$9,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,181.05 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 18,800$10,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,716 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked TEAM VISION | 55c | 18,776$10,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,365.73 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…e210backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 18,767$10,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,697.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…89a1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 18,700$11,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,941.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Spirit | 68c | 18,561$12,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,877.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Spirit | 54c | 18,398$9,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,501.64 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 18,336$9,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498.15 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 18,128$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,189.85 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs TEAM VISION (+2.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.