Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x177fcd5b490112c7c2ad7553b860dfd38a30efb1a10416df5ed67274ab45fb38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,359,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,755,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,359,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 897 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TEAM VISION | 28c | 133,490$36,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,865.48 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed TEAM VISION | 46c | 88,887$40,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,888.19 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 50,269$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked TEAM VISION | 36c | 48,015$17,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,282.67 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Team Spirit | 51c | 45,187$22,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,209.74 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked TEAM VISION | 35c | 42,741$14,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,911.78 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed TEAM VISION | 49c | 33,560$16,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,523.26 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Spirit | 62c | 27,614$17,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,604.52 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed TEAM VISION | 47c | 25,878$12,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,175.15 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 24,064$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,279.61 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed TEAM VISION | 22c | 22,980$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.95 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed TEAM VISION | 14c | 21,257$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.36 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 52c | 20,000$10,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,658.3 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Spirit | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 19,505$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 19,196$8,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,941.86 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked TEAM VISION | 48c | 17,290$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Spirit | 53c | 16,160$8,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 53c | 15,923$8,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485.49 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked TEAM VISION | 45c | 15,840$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.47 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Spirit | 58c | 15,631$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,565.98 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 78c | 15,552$12,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.5 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 15,190$8,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,407.16 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 14,705$9,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.09 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…aeaabacked TEAM VISION | 21c | 14,487$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 13,270$8,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.67 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked TEAM VISION | 14c | 12,699$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.76 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 78c | 12,333$9,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.59 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Spirit | 80c | 11,802$9,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.3 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed TEAM VISION | 8c | 11,655$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked TEAM VISION | 31c | 11,587$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.15 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked TEAM VISION | 55c | 11,082$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.87 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked TEAM VISION | 54c | 10,402$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 54c | 10,389$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TEAM VISION | 26c | 10,030$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.39 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TEAM VISION | 28c | 10,019$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.34 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 10,007$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.43 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked TEAM VISION | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Spirit | 69c | 9,788$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.97 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 9,636$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.3 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 73c | 9,635$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.73 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed TEAM VISION | 47c | 9,395$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.51 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Spirit | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 9,130$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.63 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed TEAM VISION | 18c | 9,114$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.85 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 8,728$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.2 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Spirit | 50c | 8,532$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.44 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked TEAM VISION | 35c | 8,393$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.53 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.5wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed TEAM VISION | 47c | 8,268$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Spirit | 67c | 7,856$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.91 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 7,806$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.05 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 7,467$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.79 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed TEAM VISION | 16c | 7,200$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed TEAM VISION | 47c | 7,173$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.55 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 7,082$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.56 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Spirit | 52c | 7,046$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.05 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Team Spirit | 46c | 7,006$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed TEAM VISION | 21c | 6,786$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.84 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed TEAM VISION | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 6,315$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.41 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked TEAM VISION | 9c | 6,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.4 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 73c | 6,047$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.13 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked TEAM VISION | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed TEAM VISION | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 5,948$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.46 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Spirit | 67c | 5,808$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.61 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked TEAM VISION | 20c | 5,680$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit | 59c | 5,668$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked Team Spirit | 79c | 5,574$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.78 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Spirit | 50c | 5,557$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.25 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 5,433$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.32 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed TEAM VISION | 47c | 5,411$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.31 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 5,306$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Team Spirit | 73c | 5,147$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.48 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…fae7backed Team Spirit | 67c | 5,058$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TEAM VISION | 23c | 4,999$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.75 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Spirit | 80c | 4,995$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.32 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked TEAM VISION | 48c | 4,888$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.22 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 4,865$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.17 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit | 53c | 4,356$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.33 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked TEAM VISION | 47c | 4,223$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.81 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 63c | 4,187$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.56 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 4,177$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.63 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 4,176$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.91 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…0d13backed Team Spirit | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Spirit | 45c | 4,000$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.89 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 4,000$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.67 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed TEAM VISION | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 3,984$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.6 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed TEAM VISION | 17c | 3,894$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 64c | 3,858$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.34 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed TEAM VISION | 14c | 3,842$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.8 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Team Spirit | 62c | 3,798$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed TEAM VISION | 10c | 3,771$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.78 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1860…147ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,762$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.18 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…42ffbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 3,759$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 3,727$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.31 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 50c | 3,657$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.18 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs TEAM VISION (+2.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.