TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0224…292a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
552
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT25244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 252 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$11,799.96
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,047.93
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,159.54
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,862.89
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,700
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.69
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,460.34
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,625.94
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$618.61
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,451.15
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,317.7
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,524.18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,261.45
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,414.35
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,302.55
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.81
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$5,462.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,409Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69%+$6,488.95
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$77
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,778.33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,705.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$4,290.06
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$42.32
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,682.02
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+324.9%+$889.61
Showing 25 of 252 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT6613.6%9 W · 57 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$191.54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26%+$313.32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,031.93
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.91
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+657.8%+$12,067.67
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,193.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,056.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.58
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$7,395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+274.7%+$20,314.54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,576.34
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,964Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$8,054.26
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.24
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,244.38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,565Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$7,595.11
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18,500
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,432.33
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,844Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$2,866.48
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24,358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$24,944.33
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,040.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,624Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$7,454.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,135.48
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10,400
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,235.49
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,005.21
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,499.99
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,373.29
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,684Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,378.05
Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,314.61
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,841.1
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6,600
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$1,959.66
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,197.86
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,076.87
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,990.39
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,862.31
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.84
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,768.41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,146.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$21,624.28
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,946.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$28,206.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$260,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$356,785.83
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12,127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+186.8%+$22,653.44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,661.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,924Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$991.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,805.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$620
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+111.5%+$367.04
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+202.3%+$2,141.88
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$869
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$493.99
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$350.16
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$166.14
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25.3%+$604.95
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$5,045.48
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$226.11
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.43
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,206.6
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$118
Valorant: Global Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$608.83
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.22
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,362Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,694.64
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,288.1
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+58.9%+$395.43
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$251
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+209.7%+$662.04
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,217.59
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.69
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.1%+$246.8
Valorant: Farenvehn vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$73.28
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$228
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+46.2%+$336.79
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.8%+$267.26
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$124.6
Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+30.5%+$378.9
Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$260.78
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.8%+$1,006.47
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,719.99
France to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,240
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,297.71
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,600
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.5
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$335.62
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,556.9
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.37
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$5,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,243.69
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,188.23
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$919.99
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$980
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.92
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.75
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,275.99
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$713.51
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.5%+$1,539.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$580.17
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$715.68
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11,437.85
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,013.13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,028Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.1%+$1,632.02
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.8
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$53.18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17,573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+43.4%+$7,629.33
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,672Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26.5%+$3,354.49
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$89.27
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,015Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+185.3%+$7,440.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.5%+$15.85
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$5,108.84
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16,351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.6%+$11,384.41
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.3
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.1%+$313.35
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.4%+$245.36
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,484.44
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$32.25
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,504Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+333.4%+$15,018.51
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,637.84
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.23
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.74
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.66
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$112
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,192.98
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.8
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,778.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,651.16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.86
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,738.23
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$114.74
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+316.6%+$133.51
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$312.44
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+234.9%+$714.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$445.24
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,599.99
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,113.29
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.1
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,857Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$1,855.33
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,598.31
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,428.15
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,160
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,245.78
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12,823.44
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - META Cup Group Abacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$629.99
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+59.7%+$1,343.2
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100.8%+$4,304.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-69.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.14
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,809.98
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.72
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$698.92
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$62.99
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$70
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,811.22
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,218.02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,791Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$8,501.62
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,367.73
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,811.99
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,765Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+270.9%+$4,780.91
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$476
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+106.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+370.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,354.68
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,600
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Alabama (-3.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$341.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,485.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.