AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7191d618ab96b21b8ae7aeec1a5f7f6c40f4b2fde26ac34580f9187b90b0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,326,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,296,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,326,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 87,401$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…2425backed Yes | 3c | 75,630$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 10c | 63,066$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.74 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 49,739$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 41,049$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…adafbacked Yes | 0c | 29,742$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 24,300$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.93 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 23,886$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.25 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…9f3dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 17,001$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 2c | 12,566$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…f657backed Yes | 3c | 8,409$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…2d8fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,951$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 7,934$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 4c | 7,757$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.45 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,665$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 10c | 7,411$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 7,083$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.63 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 3c | 6,918$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 14c | 6,710$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04f…decbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,755$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 5,577$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 4,921$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,676$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 4,001$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 3,985$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…190ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,861$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…d6fabacked Yes | 2c | 3,837$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 3,644$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,423$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,362$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,225$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 12c | 3,220$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,785$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…756bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,765$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 9c | 2,666$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,665$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 12c | 2,644$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…6f9abacked Yes | 6c | 2,444$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,402$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 7c | 2,358$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,320$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 2c | 2,313$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…51afbacked Yes | 13c | 2,140$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…44c9backed Yes | 23c | 2,120$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 2c | 2,118$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…5558backed Yes | 1c | 2,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 5c | 1,984$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…742cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,903$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…0012backed Yes | 2c | 1,790$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,719$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed Yes | 1c | 1,621$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…7102backed Yes | 2c | 1,518$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 1,510$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…2807backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 1,492$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.64 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…b578backed Yes | 3c | 1,484$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…4f1cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,479$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…f33cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,440$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…ec23backed Yes | 15c | 1,420$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed Yes | 8c | 1,400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,383$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…4cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,358$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 10c | 1,357$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…b457backed Yes | 3c | 1,313$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,273$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…2a5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,226$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 1,139$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 4c | 1,104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…0415backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 1c | 1,087$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…54d2backed Yes | 4c | 999.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…8f58backed Yes | 4c | 999.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 23c | 968.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 4c | 926.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…9977backed Yes | 8c | 915.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 10c | 909.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 3c | 836.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…dba0backed Yes | 2c | 793.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5e8abacked Yes | 2c | 773.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 3c | 772.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 13c | 765.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…963ebacked Yes | 2c | 760.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 8c | 699.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 14c | 691$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…9b93backed Yes | 2c | 678.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 648.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…5229backed Yes | 2c | 648.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 604.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 3c | 587.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…6895backed Yes | 9c | 574.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 3c | 558.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…daccbacked Yes | 12c | 548.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.