TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe061…93f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,550
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2476.9%17 W · 230 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 247 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+900%+$109.6
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+2,465.4%+$1,358.63
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+3,992%+$4,956.55
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90.18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+2,018.9%+$3,430.09
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$188
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$103.81
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+1,053.8%+$274
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330.91
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,090.5%+$458
Showing 25 of 247 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2114.7%10 W · 201 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+2,685.2%+$1,592.78
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$74.63
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55.31
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$56.94
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$53.6
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$21.58
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.64
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$41.99
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55.8
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$48.61
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51.34
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30.01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17.09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1343.7%5 W · 129 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.96
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.57
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+1,233.3%+$185
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$188
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.01
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.76
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71.2
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63.89
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,138.1%+$1,605.63
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1164.3%5 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.59
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.87
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.09
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.59
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.77
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.89
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.46
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+2,922.9%+$2,294.25
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.94
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.54
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+2,990.7%+$336.38
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.45
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.57
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.09
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT865.8%5 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.62
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.45
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+2,273.3%+$1,112.64
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.66
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$333.39
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.60 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.94
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.51
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$144.86
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.28
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.96
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$54.56
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$249.46
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovicbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Australian Open Women's: Gabriela Ruse vs Mirra Andreevabacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptistebacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Australian Open Women's: Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,076.5%+$182.99
Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Taylor Fritzbacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Australian Open Women's: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Australian Open Men's: Francesco Maestrelli vs Novak Djokovicbacked Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.01
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST636.3%4 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $3.20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.51
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.33
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.47
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.4
Will Solana reach $200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Solana reach $190 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.33
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.03
Will XRP reach $3.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.14
Will Solana reach $180 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.51
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$284.97
Will XRP reach $3.40 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.3
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.24
Will Solana reach $210 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT611.6%1 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-95.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.49
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$97.89
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.89
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.53
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.89
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$331.88
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.6
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.91
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5710.5%6 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,231.2%+$449.52
Will Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.93
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.48
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.77
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.09
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.13
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.34
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.09
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.28
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.23
House passes Iran war powers resolution this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.68
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+1,675.1%+$283.1
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+1,945.4%+$855.99
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.1
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT385.3%2 W · 36 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.88
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.66
Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.96
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.27
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.86
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.1
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.98
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.64
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$232.53
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$465.04
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.81
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$906.3
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$484.8
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$647.24
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$887.69
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$643.05
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT365.6%2 W · 34 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.2
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.67
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.76
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,824%+$1,283.86
Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.32
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,184.8%+$2,297.58
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$311
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.92
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.18
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.17
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.35
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.38
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$745.17
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$59.06
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$705.09
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$798.19
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.19
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$470.49
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT329.4%3 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 51°F or below on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.31
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.54
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.39
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.37
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.32
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.98
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$564
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.56
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.49
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.97
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.1
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.09
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.3
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.8
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.03
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.13
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.37
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.41
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST258%2 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Nebius say "Nvidia" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+1,426.2%+$898.26
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.09
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.95
Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.96
Will Pfizer Inc (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.34
Will Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.19
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.62
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+998.9%+$147.75
All 25 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$504.85
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.83
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Google dip to $300 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32.96
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $230?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $320?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $315?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $245?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $240?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $172?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above $435?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $240?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.53
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $90?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $315?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.02
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$173.78
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.31
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$237.89
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.55
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$127.78
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$95.36
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.15
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$91.9
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$81.06
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.51
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.14
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.44
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.07
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.59
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Charlie McClintock be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Shannon Lundgren be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.82
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Willie Preston be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$91.42
All 15 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$163.14
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$76.39
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.82
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$240.9
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.25
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$82.97
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$113.31
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$90.64
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$119.13
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.09
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63.95
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$103.88
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$276.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.72
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.97
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.41
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.24
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.13
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.21
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.83
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.51
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.99
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.01
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$138.98
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.16
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+112.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs DRX (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.