Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96baf085241cc80671ab8163ea0e6e70bdfc83402dfff0ec4e704b303df2ed1c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,472 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x500f…a4e3backed Yes	29c	4,358$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cea…d1d2backed Yes	17c	2,911$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf5…9385backed Yes	10c	2,500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa37f…523cbacked Yes	23c	2,219$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5304…13e8backed Yes	16c	1,896$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-56%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,800$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	206	1.9%4 W · 202 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	2c	1,600$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604a…a58ebacked Yes	44c	1,265$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No	55c	1,216$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.44	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x356a…bfeabacked Yes	23c	1,200$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+265%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Yes	14c	1,131$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.26	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1921backed No	73c	1,093$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.79	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+7.9wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Yes	19c	1,059$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfa…de14backed No	63c	990$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.5	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+83%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes	12c	906.23$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.93	111	24.3%27 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+153.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	8c	889.7$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.77	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd588…cec0backed Yes	15c	832.66$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.1	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	9c	823.93$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.53	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7d…5bd2backed Yes	14c	821.17$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.18	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb674…0184backed Yes	14c	800$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.4	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	17c	796$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.2	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x756d…b4d4backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	9c	700$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b18…de94backed Yes	14c	694.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…968ebacked Yes	12c	656.17$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.79	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb843…e613backed Yes	25c	632.76$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed Yes	14c	594.37$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.58	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7c…3dbfbacked Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabd…3a01backed Yes	16c	544$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	530.84$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.02	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b9…20a3backed Yes	9c	530.44$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	10c	514.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85f…ac2bbacked No	65c	482.91$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.99	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No	55c	465.87$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.26	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes	34c	456.41$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed No	79c	431.25$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.63	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a8…9850backed Yes	8c	400$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e5…694dbacked No	78c	400$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+175.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	+13.8wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a97…593dbacked Yes	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-14.9wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4027…1f6abacked Yes	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aee…9c2fbacked Yes	10c	380$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x231e…9297backed No	70c	340$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.22	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd0…1f86backed Yes	17c	323.53$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	52cpaid	-74%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42c4…93a7backed Yes	6c	319.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes	13c	318.85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec3…f32bbacked Yes	14c	315$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.1	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-5.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf77b…eb5cbacked Yes	16c	308.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.02	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xece5…43cfbacked No	78c	300$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes	14c	298.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	22c	280.74$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes	14c	269.2$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.13	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	20c	242.52$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.86	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c3…976ebacked Yes	58c	238.73$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.46	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	58cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7305…1cb7backed No	69c	234.53$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.53	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed Yes	15c	232.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.17	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5602…6351backed Yes	43c	230$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.9	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes	17c	225$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.18	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	10c	221.06$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes	12c	217.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.06	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c6…1ef5backed Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	16c	203.48$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.52	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x894d…6916backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Yes	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f0…6edabacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd585…b1b9backed Yes	32c	199.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.20per pick	27cpaid	+456.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Yes	20c	199.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…d9e0backed Yes	56c	189.53$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+12.0wins	+0.19per pick	32cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3d1d…256abacked Yes	26c	182.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Yes	55c	169.74$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.62	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc101…e6d1backed No	37c	168.19$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.59	181	44.8%81 W · 100 L	+23.4wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes	17c	155.42$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.81	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb99…4daebacked Yes	19c	150.49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.59	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	13c	147.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed Yes	58c	145.24$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.24	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…8c37backed No	42c	141.07$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	54cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked No	72c	139.28$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.28	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes	57c	130$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes	27c	130$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+7.0wins	+0.27per pick	31cpaid	+87.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes	13c	125.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf5…ce60backed Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3756…8ad6backed Yes	20c	101.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes	15c	101.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	100	47%47 W · 53 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	16c	101.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.03	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a81…4b7ebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…ef98backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c2…1398backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b6…472dbacked Yes	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.0wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d8d…f1dfbacked Yes	11c	92.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	85.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe511…55f3backed No	42c	80$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.4	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd02…6bbdbacked No	51c	79.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.15	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb8…77d7backed No	80c	71.52$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed No	42c	71.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+8.2wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes	22c	67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b1…800dbacked Yes	63c	63.38$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb0…0ab2backed No	78c	62.06$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.79	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc680…a9abbacked Yes	62c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?this page
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?No won
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event