TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc101…e6d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
315
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 63 out of 100; worst Stocks at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT18144.8%81 W · 100 L+23.4wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+55.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$234
Nexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$83.99
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$156.04
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+173.1%+$106.59
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+419.7%+$625.16
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$16.77
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$122.06
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+253.1%+$191.74
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.37
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT4626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$1,932.29
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$80.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.74
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $68 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$98.21
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66.5
Will Copper (HG) settle over $5.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Copper (HG) settle over $5.40 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.86
Will Copper (HG) settle over $5.20 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.32
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+118.4%+$124.7
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+667.4%+$73.41
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+174%+$63.5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.19
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$32.59
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$112.29
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+172.7%+$190
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$380
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+1,025.2%+$307.56
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.56
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.31
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-78.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.