Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84d07e05f8817d57e252efa76eb18cd0f9e1386209894631490f70aa33e8698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3131…b77bbacked No | 4c | 10,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…0f89backed No | 2c | 9,938$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked No | 2c | 4,955$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 4,125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 66c | 3,019$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.97 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…da52backed No | 1c | 2,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…dd4bbacked No | 1c | 2,587$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 2c | 2,504$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d689backed No | 2c | 2,006$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 2,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 32c | 1,874$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.36per pick | 41cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,863$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.78 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…2190backed No | 3c | 1,840$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 66c | 1,682$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.28 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…c7e9backed No | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc571…4966backed No | 64c | 1,580$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 66c | 1,522$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 1,387$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed Yes | 41c | 1,334$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,276$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 26c | 1,266$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.77 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 69c | 1,175$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 1c | 1,172$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 65c | 1,045$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.06 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…7e8dbacked No | 2c | 855.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…f694backed Yes | 35c | 760.7$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 663.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Yes | 39c | 497$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +167%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed No | 60c | 478.52$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…62b4backed Yes | 43c | 472$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed No | 13c | 422.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 402$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…18c7backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +141%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…c3a8backed No | 9c | 307.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +142%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 254.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 58c | 253.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 30c | 240.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…f4adbacked Yes | 51c | 195.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 188.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 38c | 184.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6361backed Yes | 32c | 169.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +251.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 57c | 165$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 63c | 154$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 59c | 134.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…b825backed Yes | 42c | 133.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…f52fbacked Yes | 40c | 125.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 56c | 107.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed No | 65c | 107.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed Yes | 47c | 106.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 103.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…3a2fbacked No | 59c | 101.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…29ddbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b8edbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f27…d37ebacked No | 58c | 73.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 38c | 68.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 54c | 64.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 63c | 59.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 59c | 54.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…9bc9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 43.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Yes | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29d…343abacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 33c | 37.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…15a6backed No | 61c | 30.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 49c | 27.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…96febacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.