Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x092b6597a69cc4ae5a5375cbf5b8de76f0866f944335f779b7bcea06bcd0da4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $917,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $893,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $917,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5d3…613cbacked No | 0c | 149,642$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…ed82backed No | 1c | 114,907$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa671…7716backed No | 1c | 52,742$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 19,305$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…1f5bbacked No | 7c | 15,959$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 12,628$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 5c | 10,663$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.22 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 52c | 10,583$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.05 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 72c | 10,050$7,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed No | 0c | 10,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…d40abacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd39…39ecbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 8,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…53cdbacked No | 0c | 7,515$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c41…3ec8backed No | 2c | 7,384$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…7181backed No | 29c | 6,608$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…83e7backed No | 2c | 6,540$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 6c | 5,366$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.86 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…8b16backed No | 39c | 5,068$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…d2a1backed Yes | 72c | 4,837$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 9c | 4,661$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.15 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 22c | 4,429$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.59 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 4,324$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.93 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 3c | 4,129$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 15c | 4,074$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.53 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…2c02backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa2…21efbacked Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…b10cbacked No | 19c | 4,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…2d08backed Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…b83fbacked No | 41c | 4,000$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…d0e8backed Yes | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c3…d76abacked No | 41c | 4,000$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…223bbacked No | 21c | 4,000$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…0a8ebacked No | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…324bbacked Yes | 61c | 4,000$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…c7e9backed No | 52c | 3,841$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 77c | 3,548$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 63c | 3,516$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…a930backed No | 26c | 3,516$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked No | 13c | 3,509$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 15c | 3,285$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…47c4backed No | 19c | 3,278$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed No | 29c | 3,084$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 35c | 3,044$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.26 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 30c | 3,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 30c | 3,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed No | 77c | 2,790$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 2,755$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb493…5a59backed No | 13c | 2,717$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 63c | 2,679$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…2b54backed Yes | 67c | 2,599$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…427fbacked No | 5c | 2,465$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…53f6backed No | 21c | 2,451$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2a…c117backed Yes | 59c | 2,400$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…1577backed Yes | 59c | 2,400$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…ff74backed Yes | 79c | 2,400$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…db73backed Yes | 64c | 2,400$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…daa4backed Yes | 59c | 2,200$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…70abbacked Yes | 59c | 2,200$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…11ccbacked Yes | 79c | 2,200$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 2,080$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked No | 15c | 2,027$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…9a61backed No | 18c | 1,956$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…486abacked No | 44c | 1,946$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked No | 47c | 1,906$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…d995backed No | 3c | 1,880$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…5d58backed No | 12c | 1,876$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 1,804$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.03 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…6125backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50e…09f1backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf455…385abacked Yes | 67c | 1,800$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…7745backed Yes | 79c | 1,800$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 79c | 1,762$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…c4c0backed Yes | 64c | 1,600$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…5256backed Yes | 59c | 1,600$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…53a7backed Yes | 59c | 1,600$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…904fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,600$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 32c | 1,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…756ebacked No | 13c | 1,488$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 14c | 1,401$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 16c | 1,396$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 12c | 1,329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 13c | 1,176$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 12c | 1,167$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed No | 27c | 1,129$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…1b61backed No | 33c | 1,120$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…c3ddbacked No | 32c | 1,106$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…73babacked Yes | 64c | 1,100$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…97a8backed No | 5c | 1,092$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 31c | 1,083$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed No | 20c | 1,048$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb78…8818backed No | 36c | 1,047$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked No | 6c | 1,015$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…8641backed Yes | 68c | 1,014$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 76c | 999.98$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 15c | 950.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked No | 22c | 948.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 8c | 925.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…9e2cbacked No | 17c | 897.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.