TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7a3…e60a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.08
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$422.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+158.3%+$751.68
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$140.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$618.53
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$252.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.9
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+130%+$740.91
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.74
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,681.96
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 8% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.76
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,028.91
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.19
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$938.79
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$79.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+72.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$342.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,594.9%+$1,223.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+733.3%+$748
All 16 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.14
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$38.88
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$55
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.52
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.22
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$77.1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$1,096.26
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+886%+$348.63
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.27
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,425.18
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$59.28
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+104.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.84
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+1,177.5%+$2,337.43
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+235.3%+$279.61
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.29
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.5
Will Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127%+$1,781.17
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-55.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.