Stocks · resolved market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da3a5e2a18e682f7b6407ef1c853adf09de0a3e1a5637879827ac11792f5166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 9c | 23,326$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 2c | 4,696$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,568$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.01 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,401$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…eaaebacked Yes | 8c | 3,214$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,274$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 16c | 2,225$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,095$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…c117backed Yes | 4c | 2,079$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 29c | 1,391$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…6deabacked Yes | 19c | 1,346$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 1,194$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +165%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…14febacked Yes | 8c | 1,115$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…c634backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 865.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…1d4fbacked Yes | 20c | 838.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 77c | 814.29$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 8c | 764.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 46c | 736.53$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 719.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Yes | 11c | 710$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 2c | 696.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…69d5backed Yes | 22c | 682.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked No | 59c | 681.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 44c | 679.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 44c | 657.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 639.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 79c | 572.07$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…2c3dbacked Yes | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…b176backed Yes | 27c | 422.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 351.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…0b29backed No | 64c | 346.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…d5c1backed No | 71c | 281.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed No | 79c | 271.69$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…d3eabacked Yes | 11c | 265.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…9da0backed Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13df…1e2bbacked No | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 50c | 231.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes | 23c | 219.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…2c07backed No | 52c | 209.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 77c | 190.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 42c | 188.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Yes | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 14c | 179.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…230ebacked Yes | 10c | 175$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 23c | 158.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 51c | 149.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…9269backed Yes | 35c | 141.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 23c | 139.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…36c7backed Yes | 14c | 139.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 25c | 125.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 119.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922c…f520backed Yes | 41c | 118.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 26c | 116.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…d115backed Yes | 23c | 110.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…91f1backed No | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…c2a6backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 68c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…bb1fbacked Yes | 47c | 78.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 54c | 75.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 158 | 35.4%56 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked Yes | 16c | 66.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 26.8%44 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2b81backed No | 69c | 54.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…46d1backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…8ecfbacked No | 78c | 49.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…8f57backed Yes | 47c | 43.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…3cbfbacked Yes | 49c | 40.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…9a42backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed Yes | 57c | 39.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…61cebacked Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 38c | 36.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…1c53backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 34c | 35.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3254…351fbacked No | 74c | 23.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf570…aed2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 69c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5106…22e6backed No | 73c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4e…7c90backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?this page
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.