TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66a5…56cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+62%+$267.77
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$182.5
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$130.99
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.99
Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$187
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$101
Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$273
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$149.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$136
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$248
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$241.22
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$319
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.99
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.9
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$66.45
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$166
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+197%+$199
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$319.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+447.9%+$981
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$110
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68.5%+$244
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$124
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Another ATACMS strike into Russian territory by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.8%+$27.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.6%+$531.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37.5%+$109
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$234.94
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$238
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.2%+$249
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+40.4%+$100.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$254.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+204.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.