Middle East · resolved market
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e94bb8dd09931d12e6e656fe4fe6ceb3922bc3d6eab864bb6cd24773cf67269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,216,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,366,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,216,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,026 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 67c | 410,737$276,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276,476.96 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 80c | 275,097$219,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,634.21 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 60c | 135,244$81,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,533.97 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 50c | 122,488$61,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,122.87 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 41c | 116,349$48,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,291.47 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…acd7backed Yes | 38c | 115,290$43,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,449.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…4991backed No | 13c | 109,287$14,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,411.95 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 58c | 98,807$57,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,704.65 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -8.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 65c | 88,733$58,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,111.79 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 60c | 84,021$50,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,412.46 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…75a8backed Yes | 23c | 83,072$18,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,083.91 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 34c | 80,125$27,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,993.41 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes | 45c | 76,337$34,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,957.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…2798backed No | 0c | 70,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 66,990$28,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,446.57 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 62c | 62,958$38,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,782.86 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 76c | 60,000$45,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,749.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 63cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 70c | 57,110$39,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,124.43 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 62c | 53,962$33,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,713.86 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…0c9abacked Yes | 33c | 53,700$17,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,079.29 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 46c | 52,460$24,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,223.74 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked No | 60c | 50,000$29,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,951.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 9c | 49,871$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.4 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…648cbacked No | 73c | 48,876$35,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,679.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked No | 63c | 48,591$30,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,721.39 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -10.4wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 32c | 47,911$15,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,643.14 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…edc5backed Yes | 48c | 45,973$22,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,859.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 69c | 44,265$30,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,673.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 41c | 42,211$17,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,867.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 27c | 39,834$10,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,114.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 53c | 39,829$21,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,774.86 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 61c | 39,383$24,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,045.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 75c | 37,201$27,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,942.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 4c | 35,400$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked Yes | 26c | 35,000$9,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,743.2 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 40c | 34,351$13,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,629.32 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 35c | 33,992$11,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,145.06 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 51c | 33,235$16,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,933.04 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 55c | 33,027$18,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,758.75 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 78c | 32,444$25,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.39 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 69c | 31,920$22,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,019.26 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…2b32backed No | 3c | 31,769$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 45c | 31,386$14,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,372.17 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 28c | 28,534$7,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,676.84 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…ca8ebacked Yes | 31c | 27,658$8,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,116.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 24cpaid | +230.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 40c | 27,461$10,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,505.04 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +13.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 47c | 26,589$12,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,221.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 33c | 26,184$8,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,429.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked No | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked Yes | 32c | 24,704$8,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,694.13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…2a19backed Yes | 46c | 24,546$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,136.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 74c | 24,013$17,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,769.61 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…43f4backed No | 1c | 23,093$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked No | 55c | 22,870$12,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,607.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 69c | 22,244$15,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,387.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 21,770$13,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,247.54 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…23debacked Yes | 27c | 21,385$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,611.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +216%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…5bd7backed Yes | 33c | 21,110$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,109.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 28c | 20,703$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,867.69 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 61c | 20,644$12,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149.23 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 61c | 20,089$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,327.96 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed Yes | 57c | 20,000$11,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,611.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…89cebacked Yes | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…a781backed No | 0c | 19,890$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…4e68backed Yes | 27c | 19,683$5,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,274.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed Yes | 30c | 19,635$5,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,789.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 61c | 19,380$11,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,734.04 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…a817backed No | 0c | 18,656$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…bf7dbacked Yes | 65c | 18,478$12,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,406.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 40c | 18,314$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,036.91 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 76c | 18,005$13,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,716.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…5a0ebacked Yes | 53c | 17,901$9,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,368.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…d724backed No | 67c | 17,403$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked Yes | 50c | 17,361$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,678.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…0c2abacked No | 62c | 17,327$10,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,696.51 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0573…5f76backed Yes | 37c | 17,210$6,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,852.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed No | 1c | 16,867$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…8830backed Yes | 74c | 16,785$12,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…a125backed Yes | 68c | 16,612$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…a94bbacked Yes | 44c | 16,400$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,121.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…6634backed Yes | 26c | 16,015$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,902.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 61c | 15,790$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,677.2 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 61c | 15,771$9,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,543.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 36c | 15,533$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.36 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 69c | 15,531$10,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,672.21 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 37c | 15,522$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,725.19 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…59dcbacked No | 47c | 15,436$7,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 39c | 15,320$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,335.78 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed No | 74c | 15,100$11,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,166.35 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…3ba7backed Yes | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 68c | 15,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed No | 7c | 14,964$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.63 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 39c | 14,863$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,126.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…a94ebacked Yes | 37c | 14,201$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,005.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…e00bbacked Yes | 27c | 14,147$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,291.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 4c | 14,104$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.28 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 66c | 14,095$9,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…4847backed Yes | 36c | 14,014$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,918.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 37cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 14,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.