TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35bb…009b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT16553.9%89 W · 76 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,004.03
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,343.42
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$2,479.08
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.95
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,478.15
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,077.07
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,671.95
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,448.05
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$677.11
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,844.13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37,077Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$29,822.18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,132.36
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$478.05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$239.46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,252.01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,981.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+119%+$1,518.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,912Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$12,674.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,540.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,713.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.24
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.62
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77,235.95
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$2,314.19
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$784.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$8,119.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$3,244.61
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74,988.85
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.14
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,414.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,906.6
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+645.3%+$825.7
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.84
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,914Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$778.81
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.71
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,250
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$1,415.6
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,141.92
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$615.67
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19,322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$8,052.95
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$5,049.61
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$46.56
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$2,094.21
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,019.64
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$261.95
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.7%+$1,360.02
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$204.33
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,046.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$3,294.32
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$121.35
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$3,658.25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,870.81
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.13
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30,305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$10,675.21
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$101.43
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.15
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.6%+$9,100.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+131.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,496.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$6,529.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$174,247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$80,578.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4,874.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,058.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.