TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x090a…01b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
555
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST16836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22,000
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,322.92
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$814.85
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30,616.42
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25,391.17
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24,580.9
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$69.51
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26,499.94
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$9,599.99
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27,499.97
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23,500
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19,199.7
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$494.11
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,521.65
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39,241.75
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23,399.96
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12,015.74
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15,432.58
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22,830.43
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27,914.65
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$13,493.52
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+149.1%+$34,657.91
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21,952.06
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26,622.19
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+36.7%+$14,186.16
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST11846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,742.4
Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19,200
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15,159.64
Spread: Texas (-7.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$234.51
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15,121.46
Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,893Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$2,893.4
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,029Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13,479
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14,910.73
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$20
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$13,500
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$22,500
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,532.77
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15,667.16
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,724Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+135.5%+$6,402.55
O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$1,028
Spread: Virginia (-3.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15,287.97
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17,066.39
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17,500
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14,425.6
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18,747.17
Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,294Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+89.4%+$4,732.07
Spread: Washington State (-13.5)backed Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,737Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+89%+$10,450.51
Spread: Louisiana (-9.5)backed Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.94
Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17,820.67
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16,200
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62,853.48
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.71
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+25%+$36.59
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21,211.39
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,498.67
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17,784.8
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12,136.76
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21,658Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.5%+$19,178.17
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,092Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9,315.86
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14,802.4
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17,400
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31,128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8,779.57
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10,857.35
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34,806.34
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29,813Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+189.3%+$56,449.65
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25,493Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11,996.68
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22,851Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15,879.56
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,282.64
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,890.88
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,000
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,036Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15,828.19
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17,502Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9,424.26
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,400
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,597Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$10,070.18
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,237.86
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST4650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,904.36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$183,482.72
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17,519
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$219,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$219,634.21
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,856.57
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,004.14
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+302.2%+$6,536.31
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+119.7%+$727.1
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,832Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.2%+$5,004.39
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32,501.34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.9
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$6,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$6,658.31
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,369
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,318.14
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,855Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+79.4%+$6,236.97
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36,563Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+62.6%+$22,900.81
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.2%+$22,832.06
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$132.92
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39,182.93
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500.3
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,082.61
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.1
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13,573Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$4,392.83
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.1%+$205.02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.7%+$1,770.2
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3754.1%20 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+55%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15,410.51
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+203.4%+$2,715.15
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$432,711Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$129,297.88
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,012.44
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$487.34
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$28.05
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67,268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$21,770.92
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33,511Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.4%+$27,955.88
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.7%+$656.58
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,865Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$808
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,487.09
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$180.96
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$7,804.81
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$8,081Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+836.3%+$67,576.82
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,578Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+95.4%+$13,902.19
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$654.96
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.81
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,642Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$3,302.46
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26,079Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$11,045.55
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,853.58
Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$51.18
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.87
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$663.38
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$493.73
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14,000
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10,800
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19,886.16
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$13,300
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12,481.42
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11,714.92
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14,293.07
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17,769.34
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17,124.3
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15,467Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16,755.44
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14,731.34
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15,749.99
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15,900
Ducks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13,864.56
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17,993.48
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18,346.02
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17,552Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$16,201.39
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17,175.55
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16,268.67
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18,900
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10,045.38
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15,299.41
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17,920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$28,028.47
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$15,000
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16,497Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8,882.85
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+87.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+312.7%+$41,308.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,057.95
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,359Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.5%+$1,193.91
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$265.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25,700.18
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$985.04
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+213%+$1,686.6
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$88.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,841.99
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$909.54
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,313.53
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,421.63
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.62
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+105.3%+$311.91
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+1,345.9%+$2,964.07
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$94.99
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,533.08
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.45
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+228%+$1,336.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$4,458.26
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$299.65
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.89
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+768%+$4,552.27
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.92
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+89%+$18,192.72
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,692Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,700.9
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,948Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+116.4%+$5,760.44
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,738.23
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,417.87
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$10,599.91
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33,745Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+84.4%+$28,495.11
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,702.52
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.18
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12,473.52
Will George Simion win by over 18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$7,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,927.06
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,444.36
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,842.2
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$176,836.36
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,436.43
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$9,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,996.15
Trump meets with Carney before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$129.15
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.68
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,555.51
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,324.78
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$9,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,649.11
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$2,071.25
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038.68
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10,949.59
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$465.16
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$380.86
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,793.47
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$66.87
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,977Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+125.6%+$3,738.25
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22,599Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.8%+$6,724.55
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34,846Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.8%+$16,656.61
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.6%+$469.34
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+161.7%+$45,627.44
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.64
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100.9%+$965.94
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29,223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+33.5%+$9,799.41
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$167.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick38cpaid+70.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$131.51
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.23
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+328.6%+$230
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,575.19
California redistricting referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$129.14
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$467.08
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+470.5%+$3,472.38
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$721.24
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10,551.42
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$2,266.82
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27,671Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+213%+$58,938.43
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$747.89
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$626,013Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25.1%+$157,066.04
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,881.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-79.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$970.32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14,328.72
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20,499.34
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+62.9%+$202.12
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,384.98
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10,958.92
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75.33
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,900
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-50.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23,352Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8,204.68
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$6,800.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$7,621.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,087.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$6,212.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,750
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.