Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4b3c1b3c57646192cc82d219b984ba8ce3f659277e114d08066bfd9bfb935a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,298,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,417,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,298,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 736 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 5c | 113,182$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 0c | 110,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 0c | 95,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6a…8015backed No | 0c | 78,688$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed No | 1c | 74,015$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…8d22backed No | 16c | 59,381$9,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 14c | 57,614$8,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,319.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…2ffebacked Yes | 13c | 55,026$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,119.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…3836backed No | 1c | 52,582$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 0c | 47,991$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…348dbacked Yes | 15c | 43,680$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,918.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +160.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc77a…daf8backed Yes | 10c | 42,845$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,609.71 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…1e0dbacked No | 0c | 37,163$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 19c | 36,965$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,765.94 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…b494backed Yes | 16c | 36,838$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,886.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…6fc1backed No | 0c | 31,480$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 14c | 31,345$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,974.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.48per pick | 21cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 47c | 31,239$14,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,662.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 12c | 30,260$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…0193backed Yes | 14c | 27,248$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,461.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed No | 72c | 24,983$17,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,890.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47b…780dbacked No | 0c | 24,545$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 1c | 24,187$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…3597backed No | 1c | 24,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 70c | 23,044$16,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 18c | 22,513$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,392.68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…abc2backed No | 0c | 21,837$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…8a7dbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a1b0backed Yes | 10c | 19,395$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,514.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…1396backed No | 1c | 19,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 76c | 18,784$14,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 79c | 17,149$13,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,477.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 9c | 16,145$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,647.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…72bebacked Yes | 21c | 15,880$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,557.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 25c | 15,214$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 0c | 15,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 28c | 13,950$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 15c | 13,884$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,866.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed No | 1c | 12,631$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…6ffabacked Yes | 15c | 12,470$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,647.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 27c | 12,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,819.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 14c | 11,838$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,198.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +261%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 4c | 11,500$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 11,311$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 16c | 10,958$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,158.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…b555backed Yes | 15c | 10,422$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,822.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed No | 69c | 10,287$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 24c | 10,026$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…509cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…6c64backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…f33dbacked Yes | 14c | 9,962$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,557.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 22c | 9,430$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,364.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…42ffbacked No | 0c | 9,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…4278backed No | 79c | 8,191$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…00e9backed Yes | 19c | 8,166$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked No | 12c | 8,122$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…5ea2backed No | 79c | 8,012$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,311.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 36c | 8,000$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.96 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…8108backed No | 76c | 7,821$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 23c | 7,609$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,829.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…2f39backed No | 1c | 7,040$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 40c | 6,970$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 1c | 6,799$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 29c | 6,705$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 35c | 6,211$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.31 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 73c | 6,161$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 19c | 6,046$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 29c | 6,007$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…0e2cbacked Yes | 79c | 5,983$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…481bbacked Yes | 25c | 5,891$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 4c | 5,876$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…c715backed No | 0c | 5,782$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 26c | 5,607$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 16c | 5,562$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…73e2backed Yes | 9c | 5,558$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +455.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf286…55e0backed Yes | 20c | 5,489$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…f20bbacked No | 78c | 5,419$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 21c | 5,355$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…0179backed Yes | 61c | 5,293$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 26c | 5,244$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 29c | 5,051$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…f78fbacked No | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…cd47backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 3cpaid | +332%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 31c | 4,800$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…fd99backed Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed No | 73c | 4,457$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed No | 0c | 4,380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 17c | 4,359$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…522dbacked No | 1c | 4,338$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…ef15backed Yes | 35c | 4,334$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 71c | 4,206$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 77c | 4,185$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.