TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbdbb…084e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 62 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7540%30 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.82
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,085.72
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.97
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,944.44
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,384.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+419.1%+$2,478.45
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.88
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$257.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$13,315.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$8,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+450.9%+$39,761.76
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$485.99
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,322.5
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,821Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$1,412.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,822.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$1,732.77
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+200%+$1,433.32
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$885
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.07
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+565.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+17,547.1%+$23,864
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.5
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$269.65
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+220%+$1,375
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,579.75
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,402.6
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$235
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$61.1
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$224.07
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$270
Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$138
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+94.2%+$290.96
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.5%+$1,456.99
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$700.19
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.94
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+65.2%+$873.16
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,389.46
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+79.1%+$662.55
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$49.71
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$57.94
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.81
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$66.59
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+233.3%+$560
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$108.47
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+67%+$457.11
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$363.93
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$329.98
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$292.38
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$165
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$561.68
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$464
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,491.91
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$570.59
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$334.62
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,175.36
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,495
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$665
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.61
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,037
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$53.67
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$27.45
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,982
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$172.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-26.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$1,234.58
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$210
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,929Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+95.4%+$6,609.3
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$157.06
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$363.03
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.33
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$259
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+132.6%+$285
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$146.01
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$252.13
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+233.3%+$308
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$167.03
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.67
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.25
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$325.64
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+824.7%+$1,223.25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48%+$106.33
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$558.15
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+57.7%+$915.4
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$303.06
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$39.18
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.4
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$184
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+55%+$96.99
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,430
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,263
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$151.84
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$1,566.55
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$111.3
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$502.17
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$77.65
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Izagakhmaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$549.09
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+43%+$85.95
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$154
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$256.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+179.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$922
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,126
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.87
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$3,680.26
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+3,348.3%+$9,710
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,046.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,511Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$2,072.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.76
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,086.3
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+121.7%+$411.74
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+32.2%+$110.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$1,007.52
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$615
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$42.34
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$301.33
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$561
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$46.64
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+37.6%+$10.39
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.43
Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.8
Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$1,027.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,295
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.61
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.99
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$302.95
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$491.54
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,759.94
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.37
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+108.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.11
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+49.3%+$274.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BetBoom Team win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$101
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.