Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d514ad9a0d14732439ee8a9a74ba0740802417cb7374fa205868bc1d595f797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 611 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed Yes | 30c | 24,508$7,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,298.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 66c | 17,244$11,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 7c | 17,109$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…417cbacked Yes | 4c | 14,720$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…91d6backed Yes | 4c | 10,056$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 47c | 9,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 76c | 8,453$6,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 35c | 8,061$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 6,835$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…2b8fbacked No | 66c | 6,435$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,038$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 41c | 6,021$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.29 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 5,740$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 63c | 5,234$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.64 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 60c | 4,692$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…ca9ebacked Yes | 14c | 4,692$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 65c | 4,662$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.33 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 22c | 4,435$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.38 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 12c | 4,370$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 5c | 4,200$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…efd5backed Yes | 9c | 3,838$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Yes | 21c | 3,619$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked No | 57c | 3,511$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1122…1fa0backed Yes | 1c | 3,490$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 58c | 3,440$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…1028backed Yes | 4c | 3,440$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 53c | 3,380$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 3,031$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.51 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…c538backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…5309backed Yes | 2c | 2,898$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…7e40backed Yes | 2c | 2,723$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 19c | 2,647$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df5…e945backed Yes | 19c | 2,628$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…8c71backed No | 67c | 2,578$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,568$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 24c | 2,496$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…66ffbacked Yes | 36c | 2,344$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed No | 74c | 2,291$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,282$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.9 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 62c | 2,191$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,181$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 39c | 2,138$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 63c | 2,050$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5831…3f6cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,979$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 3c | 1,721$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…9aa4backed Yes | 58c | 1,709$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,707$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked No | 55c | 1,700$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 33c | 1,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 62c | 1,616$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 77c | 1,564$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…04adbacked Yes | 15c | 1,560$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked No | 63c | 1,500$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,469$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…cd7cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,320$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…1376backed Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3e…dc7dbacked No | 67c | 1,239$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,234$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 66c | 1,220$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,201$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…0e4fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…aa2bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,192$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Yes | 46c | 1,190$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,168$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…6d1dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,142$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b77…af5fbacked No | 65c | 1,112$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 47c | 1,100$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…90e3backed Yes | 61c | 1,052$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,052$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…bf5ebacked No | 54c | 1,034$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…c189backed No | 77c | 1,032$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Yes | 4c | 1,031$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Yes | 16c | 1,022$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd749…12cabacked Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,004$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…3b8ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…14ddbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2db5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc83…e1aabacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…76d7backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed Yes | 7c | 994.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 43c | 979.99$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…d58fbacked Yes | 36c | 927.25$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 53c | 881$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 52c | 856.06$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…087bbacked Yes | 3c | 849.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…4f52backed Yes | 12c | 848.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…c139backed Yes | 33c | 831.75$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 10c | 829.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 33c | 826.22$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Yes | 39c | 804.18$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 71c | 799.99$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro mugshot released by January 9?this page
- Maduro mugshot released by January 16?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by January 23?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by January 30?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.