TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xefde…783d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,779
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Music, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Music at 59 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT45843.7%200 W · 258 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 458 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.55
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$184.59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.26
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$981.94
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.61
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,325.83
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.71
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.38
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,298.44
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.76
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,149.29
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.87
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,856Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$815.58
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,215.27
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.66
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$688.39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.98
Showing 25 of 458 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT19638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 196 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.38
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.74
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,045
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$228.12
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$373
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$281.42
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.17
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.99
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$718.36
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,454.32
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+60.3%+$224.79
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$528
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$401.09
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.99
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,096.25
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$522.91
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$405
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$175.43
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+117.7%+$641.64
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$264
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$555
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.44
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.6%+$527.51
Showing 25 of 196 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT12636.5%46 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$757.83
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.72
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.07
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$372
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.05
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$368
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.61
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$438.29
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.05
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.66
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$21.9
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.08
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$233.4
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$456.19
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62%+$995.83
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$509.52
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.02
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.33
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$491.28
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$28.1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$129.94
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT11039.1%43 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.05
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120.28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.4
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$238.65
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$178
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,177.22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,416.7
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,291.46
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,081.32
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$195.38
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.12
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.96
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+623.2%+$1,515.61
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.14
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$164.01
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.11
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,578.81
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+266.5%+$1,417.27
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$204.14
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$119.28
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$276.26
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.32
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$785
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10651.9%55 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,612Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+220.8%+$16,805.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+674.5%+$21,295.77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$851.08
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,929.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$656.15
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+44.1%+$330.99
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$129.52
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$20
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$272.04
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+344.4%+$387.49
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$151.99
Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$363.83
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.77
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.5%+$156.16
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.2%+$78.5
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT9643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$8
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$252.54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,925
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,777Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+714.4%+$41,272.68
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.95
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$3,028.99
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$225.05
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,538.2
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.48
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Will the announcers say "Convert" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.54
Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10
Will the announcers say "Block" or "Blocks" 3+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.53
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$281.94
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$61.22
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT7735.1%27 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,876.13
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+374.1%+$5,259.88
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.13
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.04
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.4
Will Yi Wei vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will Anish Giri vs. Yi Wei end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$195.24
Will Praggnanandhaa R vs. Andrey Esipenko end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$23.48
Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.22
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.59
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Vincent Keymer qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$30
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$373.5
Will Javokhir Sindarov finish second in the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Wei Yi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$108.3
Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemannbacked Niemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45.34
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Sindarov vs Alcantara (Advances)backed Sindarov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Shankland vs Esipenko (Advances)backed Esipenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Samuel Sevian vs Lorenzo Lodici (Advances)backed Lodici · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$72.8
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Maxime Vachier-Lagrave vs Aleksey Grebnev (Advances)backed Vachier-Lagrave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$102.18
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yangyi Yu vs Javokhir Sindarov (Advances)backed Yu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT6841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+0.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$76.7
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$81.71
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.93
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.86
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.13
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.47
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$29.62
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$34.42
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.69
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,058.25
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$133.2
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.1%+$361.6
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+201.2%+$1,335.99
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+520.8%+$5,448.65
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$175.6
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$137.9
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,465.12
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+149.6%+$1,819.99
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+46.2%+$428.73
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+86.7%+$603.79
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$91
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$386.36
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+52.2%+$305.27
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT6841.2%28 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$523.78
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.55
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$3,036.16
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$63.99
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$72.05
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225.32
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$626.69
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$170.6
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$97.86
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+52.7%+$401.57
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.61
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$958.38
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$695.99
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$306.47
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+64%+$328.18
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+79.7%+$416.19
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.2%+$153
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+94.6%+$291.72
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$234.25
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$294.74
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67.25
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$17.52
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5930.5%18 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.99
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.52
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,234.19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.1
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$586.67
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+143.3%+$1,102.25
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$148.04
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$115.31
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$426.19
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed Trump Announce Fed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.64
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.23
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+94.2%+$946.64
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.31
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,369.81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,374.42
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.16
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,395.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.9
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,621.41
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+317.6%+$315.03
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.39
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.99
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+172%+$664.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,362.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$408
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$32.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$213.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,062.02
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+41%+$287.18
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,511.06
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+289.6%+$4,460
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.81
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.02
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.97
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.91
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$208.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.01
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+45.1%+$62.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Ousmane Dembélé be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$157
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.59
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$57.71
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+62.6%+$63.71
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$241
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+381.1%+$254.94
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+1,178.3%+$2,249.45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$163.17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$56.99
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$491.32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+292.1%+$356.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.64
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$65
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$441.81
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.39
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.86
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.64
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$33.67
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$216
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.44
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.03
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.88
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$218.92
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$153.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$20.43
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.42
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$404.81
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$251.89
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$142.48
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$291.24
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.41
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$183.25
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$223.65
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$148.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$62.21
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$71.39
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Music — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.93
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$608.74
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$297
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$138.87
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$595
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.6
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.8%+$98.7
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$570.92
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$787.8
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+212.5%+$204
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,385
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.91
D4vd arrested by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$39
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 23 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.36
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+205.7%+$297.4
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 19 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.62
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be 600k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.96
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+151.9%+$607.41
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$194
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.57
Will Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$80.84
Will Drake release an album by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$342.1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.23
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$394.46
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$657.91
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$72.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79.5
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+125.1%+$47.8
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$676
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.26
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.24
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$960
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+161.4%+$586.51
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$165.3
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$52
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$205.86
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$137.5
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$103.7
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+2,281%+$479
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.56
Will anyone say "Inflation" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.33
Will anyone say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Will Eric Adams drop out first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Mike Waltz receive 55 or more YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Homeless" or "Homelessness" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$501.85
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$95.32
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$828.99
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$519.98
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$291.84
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+90.9%+$452.47
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$670.34
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$307.1
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$105
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.48
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$131.54
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+64%+$77.43
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$62.97
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is 75 or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,553Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+88.8%+$1,379.03
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.3%+$202.24
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$165.78
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$136.92
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$237.45
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$393.56
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.79
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$89.99
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$195.31
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.9%+$46
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.3%+$315.93
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$196.99
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+242.8%+$972.14
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.3
Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.79
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$192
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.9%+$409.98
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$68.49
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31%+$1,017.99
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$239.2
Will the Giants trade for Jaylen Waddle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$112.08
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$267.76
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.41
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.4
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.74
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$389.98
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$558.79
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$157
Will Oliver Glasner be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$212.38
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,956.81
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$138
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
All 18 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,029Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$2,242.15
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.55
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.31
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$49.5
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$129.44
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$738.34
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.53
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.76
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$233.05
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$87
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.75
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$255
Xi Jinping seen in public by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.43
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.77
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$259
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.3
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+486.5%+$497.69
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+300%+$225
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+85.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.21
Will Mariano win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.81
Nik Airball vs. Kristen Foxen: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Kristen Foxen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$229.55
Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+1,552.2%+$306.27
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Turbo be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Peter be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$188.68
Will LockedIn Poker reach his $100k goal by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.19
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$156
Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+108.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$123.35
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+809.1%+$400.48
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+135.6%+$1,036.1
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+212.5%+$407.99
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$737.25
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+27.4%+$490.64
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.35
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$272.76
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+613.7%+$3,439.53
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$173
All 11 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+104.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,458.85
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+350.7%+$391
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+212.1%+$1,108.13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.43
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+900%+$450
Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 700 million and 1 billion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17,162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+210%+$36,043.7
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,765.24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,631.9
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$136.51
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,858.47 and 6,927.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.35
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Recession" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$30.95
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Competition" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$67.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.18
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+151.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 318?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.3
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.4%+$67.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$288
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$253.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.