CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44572a31bc33fe5e089a0c4f9ed4f1a1fefabc60c768d4a6b6516732940a9b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Natus Vincere, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 8,390$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.96 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed B8 | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.98 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed B8 | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 4,702$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked B8 | 44c | 4,391$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.41 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed B8 | 48c | 3,633$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.16 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked B8 | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.95 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,014$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 27c | 2,756$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 30c | 2,313$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.6 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked B8 | 47c | 2,130$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.79 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed B8 | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.93 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed B8 | 47c | 1,753$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.09 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,746$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.12 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…6d27backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,686$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,360$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.39 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,278$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.32 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed B8 | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,013$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.02 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,002$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…4dadbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 929.65$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked B8 | 26c | 919.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed B8 | 44c | 739.63$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.33 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed B8 | 47c | 681.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 641.75$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 607.84$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 595.92$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 583.08$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…446dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 490.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.37 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed B8 | 21c | 450$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 444.33$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.02 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 390.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 375.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 339.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed B8 | 49c | 335.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed B8 | 47c | 324$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…ce87backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 304.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked B8 | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 292.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed B8 | 48c | 290.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 280.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 253.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed B8 | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 218.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed B8 | 42c | 213.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked B8 | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 199.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 192.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 188.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 183.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed B8 | 48c | 164.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked B8 | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 150.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 148.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…1075backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 134.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed B8 | 76c | 125.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 116.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked B8 | 48c | 115.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked B8 | 25c | 103.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 44c | 100.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed B8 | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 98.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed B8 | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed B8 | 45c | 96.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed B8 | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 91.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 30c | 90.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 84.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 71.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 67.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked B8 | 48c | 67.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…dbafbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 64.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 61.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 61.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.