TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed52…2dbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT13553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$169
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$569.23
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,434.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+155.9%+$49.52
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$169.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$262.1
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$158.67
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$139.3
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$117.09
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,387.56
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.8
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.33
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$120.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.