TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof FURIA, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$564,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6adc…bebabacked FURIA38c50,578$19,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,249.4713633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Vitality61c34,440$21,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,431.485156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Vitality62c17,250$10,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,55532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Vitality63c15,543$9,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,781.262748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Vitality70c14,588$10,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.5322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FURIA33c13,866$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.6232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Vitality62c13,661$8,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,232.7321048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality62c13,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.8675450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked FURIA36c12,869$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,625.9317042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed FURIA39c12,351$4,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,81723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Vitality61c11,110$6,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,295.857256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8551…83f6backed Vitality62c10,491$6,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,986.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed FURIA40c10,458$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.926126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality60c10,215$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.5636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked FURIA39c9,900$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.4929046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality62c7,344$4,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.8464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FURIA45c6,598$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.0649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Vitality62c6,499$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.7717062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked FURIA37c5,734$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.8210138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed FURIA38c5,539$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.713044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vitality65c5,213$3,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.881,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FURIA48c5,081$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.3433452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed FURIA22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.998951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Vitality68c4,373$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.0739970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Vitality69c3,882$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.1529858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA34c3,417$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.033,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality67c3,341$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.4776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed FURIA38c3,094$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.5820838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed FURIA41c3,091$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.2614839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA28c2,971$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.9517357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality58c2,968$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.2150054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Vitality56c2,967$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.929852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Vitality63c2,938$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.0842651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed FURIA33c2,875$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.632642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Vitality72c2,737$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.4745058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked FURIA62c2,679$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.3718654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FURIA34c2,678$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9485446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked FURIA18c2,500$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.4961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed FURIA40c2,478$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.826243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x746e…4238backed FURIA39c2,470$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA39c2,388$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.31,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked FURIA40c2,279$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.3723056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed FURIA39c2,228$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.995444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA19c2,188$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Vitality74c2,177$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.2434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Vitality66c2,015$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.688951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed FURIA39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA39c1,948$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.1675245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA39c1,832$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.4378963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA38c1,749$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality59c1,696$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.2826045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Vitality61c1,665$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.3439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed FURIA41c1,634$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.4337646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Vitality61c1,601$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.384944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed FURIA33c1,529$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9825248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Vitality62c1,473$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.1546165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7efc…bea6backed FURIA50c1,455$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.192931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c38…91b7backed FURIA16c1,447$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.54837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Vitality62c1,443$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.252832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffad…1e0fbacked FURIA39c1,435$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fd3…be21backed Vitality64c1,433$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FURIA38c1,418$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed FURIA36c1,415$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.7723354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA37c1,375$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.542,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vitality55c1,326$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.791,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Vitality58c1,297$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.753743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed FURIA39c1,283$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9313238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA40c1,268$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.794,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e7…11b0backed FURIA1c1,251$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5150%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked FURIA1c1,250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality62c1,248$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed FURIA39c1,238$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8612538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7484…de96backed FURIA39c1,225$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.853342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Vitality51c1,214$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.65648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed FURIA22c1,210$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.988416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed FURIA45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed FURIA42c1,193$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7222049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed FURIA41c1,189$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1614362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA46c1,136$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.2288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Vitality77c1,090$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5738868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8eaf…1a93backed Vitality50c1,081$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.672850%14 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed FURIA61c1,074$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.65349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked FURIA40c1,054$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5335242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Vitality62c1,020$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5112148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Vitality61c1,005$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9844648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed FURIA40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed FURIA45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed FURIA47c999.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9912571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Vitality53c990.19$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.71,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked FURIA39c985.71$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4315838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed FURIA34c979.22$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.192240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Vitality60c978.74$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.154766%31 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Vitality71c972.51$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0341069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d61…9909backed FURIA34c972.39$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.52025%5 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed FURIA39c966.39$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8911133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed FURIA39c963.93$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.936147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8928443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA39c916.19$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FURIA39c907.75$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.985,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.