TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64f7…afa6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT9852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,265.83
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$1,079.18
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$809.65
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stagebacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.39
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.21
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Acend (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$1,114.62
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs aimclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$769.09
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Acend - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$471.22
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,016Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$862.06
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,646Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$463.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$1,300.92
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.47
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064.51
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$946.21
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)backed CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$1,317.29
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+45%+$156.7
Will FalleN retire by June 1? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$1,758.82
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)backed ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$754.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$2,566.83
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet - Map 1 Winnerbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.04
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+70%+$1,016.02
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,304.03
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,316.54
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,396.31
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050.55
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,864.99
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,239.88
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.25
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$63.36
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$3,526.78
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+643.3%+$147.01
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.75
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.02
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,550.39
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.52
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+396.2%+$4,016.33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.57
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.14
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69%+$5,597.98
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,035Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$2,036.41
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,338.47
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.84
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.04
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.