TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f28…266ebacked Yes59c150,000$88,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,499.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c65,069$27,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,159.41,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c18,644$7,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,968.2987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c18,235$7,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,559.452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…4a83backed Yes4c12,201$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No41c11,373$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.953450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No41c9,218$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,421.669558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No41c9,085$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.6212556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes58c9,063$5,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,255.884252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c9,063$6,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.711,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c9,015$6,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.8771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No41c7,717$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,552.916347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c6,625$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.2824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No41c6,502$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.061668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No41c5,915$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.852835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No41c5,788$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.684548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes31c4,607$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.091612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes59c3,792$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.1624349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8843…f078backed Yes55c3,747$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes59c3,476$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No41c3,376$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.95151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No41c2,894$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.345151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No41c2,552$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.96952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes59c2,513$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.452676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4758143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c2,369$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.4628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No41c2,353$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c2,132$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Yes28c2,050$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes10c2,002$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes56c1,752$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.392352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes58c1,681$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a33…6410backed Yes59c1,653$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635e…0438backed Yes56c1,509$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.081850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes59c1,463$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.2340%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes3c1,400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c1,359$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No41c1,285$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.9926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes34c1,207$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-64.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c1,030$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3912647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No67c1,029$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.637060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No41c964.6$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.113737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No41c964.6$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.114548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No41c964.6$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.115251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No41c964.6$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.114854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes43c951.01$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9426660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes6c904.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6205%1 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-84.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No41c868.14$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.24951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No41c844.58$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No41c823.77$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.029553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes60c813.33$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4883438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes31c782.34$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes31c773.06$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No41c771.68$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.295251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No41c771.68$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.294447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No41c771.68$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.294753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes58c648.91$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.374266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c623.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5911916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c607.06$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9727748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34213246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No44c599.93$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.722962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No41c587.44$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c587.44$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No41c578.76$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.474847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No41c578.76$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.474553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Yes4c570.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked Yes60c569.33$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes26c499.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No41c482.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.565552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No41c482.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.564953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No41c470.51$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.63148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes59c463.12$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.241758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No45c463$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.262441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No41c460.86$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9129637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked No44c440.13$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.861963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No42c436.27$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.043745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes58c420.17$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x178a…88fcbacked Yes61c417.28$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No41c405.13$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.036654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No41c405.13$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.036357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No41c400.35$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.212944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes59c395.04$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes26c389.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No41c385.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.655352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No41c385.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.654650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c374.57$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes59c361.58$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.338644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No41c356.9$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.576051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes54c353.07$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…52e8backed Yes8c347.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes14c344.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.714628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.086349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes6c326.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes32c309.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.19728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes33c295.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.273225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.