TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba28…fa8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.52
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+199.6%+$64.87
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.23
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.48
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.62
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.52
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.26
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.86
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.7
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.33
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.54
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.04
Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$34.84
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.24
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$115.65
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.07
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$30.26
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$149.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.