NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc3a1f313d2012b461b55309e3b8baee458c9c94a6db0006d0f2a394fa09980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,041,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $809,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,041,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Stars | 55c | 239,553$131,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,753.89 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Wild | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,499.98 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 8c | 129,985$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350.44 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Stars | 48c | 122,429$58,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,567.54 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Stars | 3c | 85,892$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Wild | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Stars | 54c | 54,820$29,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,424.14 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wild | 53c | 48,118$25,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,654.1 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Wild | 46c | 36,769$16,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,855.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Stars | 53c | 25,383$13,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,453.24 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 17c | 14,531$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.59 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Wild | 46c | 12,128$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Wild | 61c | 11,856$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.79 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Wild | 61c | 11,287$6,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.96 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Wild | 64c | 11,108$7,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Wild | 45c | 10,870$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.33 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 47c | 10,373$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.57 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 45c | 10,150$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,582.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 1c | 9,972$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 47c | 9,734$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.17 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 18c | 9,302$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Wild | 45c | 9,102$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 47c | 8,596$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.79 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 5c | 8,163$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.43 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Wild | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 46c | 6,813$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.12 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wild | 45c | 6,666$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.3 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Wild | 47c | 5,809$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.88 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Wild | 46c | 5,806$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 46c | 5,538$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.56 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Stars | 0c | 5,390$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stars | 3c | 5,018$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Stars | 37c | 4,645$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.61 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Stars | 53c | 4,013$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.36 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Stars | 54c | 3,750$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.04 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Wild | 47c | 3,671$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Wild | 64c | 3,511$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.4 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wild | 60c | 3,485$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.37 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 46c | 3,225$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.75 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Stars | 1c | 3,203$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 5c | 3,118$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Stars | 3c | 3,012$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Wild | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Stars | 4c | 2,984$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 60c | 2,971$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.75 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Wild | 64c | 2,867$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.95 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Wild | 80c | 2,594$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wild | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 20c | 2,258$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.89 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Stars | 20c | 2,139$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Stars | 35c | 2,111$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.01 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Stars | 3c | 2,011$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Wild | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Wild | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Stars | 38c | 1,706$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.36 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Wild | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Wild | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 61c | 1,472$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed Stars | 5c | 1,432$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Stars | 41c | 1,257$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.03 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Stars | 14c | 1,190$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.71 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Stars | 52c | 1,182$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.35 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Wild | 46c | 1,166$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.84 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…e686backed Stars | 55c | 1,150$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.08 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…e516backed Wild | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…8175backed Stars | 53c | 1,069$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 67c | 1,056$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Stars | 35c | 1,006$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.79 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Wild | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Stars | 41c | 989.4$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.41 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Stars | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Stars | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Stars | 3c | 915.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Stars | 12c | 905.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Stars | 54c | 887.32$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 56c | 882.33$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.87 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Stars | 55c | 875.7$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Wild | 46c | 841.13$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Wild | 71c | 839.11$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Wild | 46c | 832.14$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Stars | 22c | 808.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Wild | 67c | 804.16$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.62 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Wild | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Wild | 46c | 774.08$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…6df7backed Wild | 46c | 746.29$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wild | 47c | 744.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.41 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Stars | 53c | 722.6$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.23 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Stars | 6c | 714.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Stars | 16c | 704.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Stars | 2c | 699.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Stars | 55c | 681.63$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.9 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Stars | 48c | 676.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Wild | 66c | 675.57$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Stars | 54c | 659.07$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.9 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Stars | 17c | 647.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Stars | 53c | 632.13$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Starsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-3.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.