TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c55…97d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
276
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT13655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,627.73
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$998.29
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.7
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$878.39
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$960.14
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,555
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,156.35
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$872.93
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$1,074.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,818
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,333
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$710.31
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,304.22
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,526.09
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,458.8
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,444
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT7452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$872.93
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,777Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+198.6%+$3,529.35
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$3,281.08
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,970.45
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,361.87
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,555
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,051.08
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$7,387.61
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,481.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$458.9
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$187
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.34
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$283.67
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$233
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$189.11
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$614.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,094.42
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,000
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$1,151.74
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,903Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$4,769.92
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$6,555.38
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$777
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,794.69
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,196.46
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$523.14
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$204.92
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$196.87
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$295.3
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$358.62
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$319.94
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$814
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$203.2
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.53
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.41
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+310%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+310%+$65.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.