NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413c4f428155faf5e0465b1eee9e11dadbbdf31024efe031f4815208ae83a0d3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,779,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,973,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,779,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,912 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	39c	597,926$230,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230,903.5	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	38c	490,554$187,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187,810.39	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Pistons	38c	328,320$126,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126,146.14	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers	67c	267,327$177,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89,438.3	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers	62c	262,000$162,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99,560	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Cavaliers	61c	174,056$106,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,765.35	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Cavaliers	61c	169,291$103,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,023.41	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Pistons	38c	158,111$60,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,082.18	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers	61c	156,865$95,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,873.33	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Cavaliers	61c	150,792$91,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,808.95	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Cavaliers	65c	128,999$84,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,773.48	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	62c	114,093$70,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,884.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Cavaliers	61c	97,815$59,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,147.85	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons	38c	90,000$34,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,499.96	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Cavaliers	71c	79,493$56,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,904.8	193	88.1%170 W · 23 L	+48.6wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	75+0.22 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers	72c	75,346$54,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,759.93	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers	65c	73,463$47,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,564.57	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons	39c	71,482$27,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,873	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Cavaliers	62c	62,222$38,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,644.36	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons	39c	60,000$23,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,100	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	64c	58,121$37,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,729.06	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Cavaliers	62c	54,602$33,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,748.58	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…732cbacked Cavaliers	60c	51,401$30,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,560.45	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Pistons	39c	51,282$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Pistons	39c	42,964$16,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,756	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons	21c	42,334$8,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,769.28	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf165…2194backed Pistons	39c	39,964$15,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,585.91	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5846…0948backed Cavaliers	62c	39,010$24,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,823.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers	62c	32,857$20,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,446.99	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers	68c	30,976$20,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,052.08	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Cavaliers	61c	30,000$18,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,699.98	211	47.4%100 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Cavaliers	77c	28,006$21,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,397.97	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Pistons	38c	27,514$10,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,455.24	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers	62c	27,181$16,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,328.72	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons	39c	25,641$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons	39c	24,561$9,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,578.7	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Cavaliers	62c	24,489$15,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,305.88	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers	54c	23,725$12,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,025.25	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	40c	23,542$9,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,488.43	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Cavaliers	62c	23,331$14,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,865.8	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Pistons	39c	23,331$9,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,099.11	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Pistons	40c	22,349$8,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,836.38	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	60c	22,145$13,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,949.55	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	62c	20,500$12,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,790	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Pistons	29c	20,000$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,800	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	69c	19,155$13,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,947.45	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers	68c	18,495$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,994.6	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Cavaliers	55c	16,937$9,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,698.93	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Pistons	36c	16,667$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pistons	12c	16,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers	67c	15,847$10,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,181.44	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Cavaliers	62c	15,393$9,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,849.52	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons	28c	15,338$4,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,220.1	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Cavaliers	52c	15,253$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,253.26	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Pistons	35c	14,137$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	61c	14,000$8,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,459.89	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Pistons	23c	13,087$2,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,987.69	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Cavaliers	71c	12,935$9,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,798.45	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers	62c	12,903$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,903.23	271	63.5%172 W · 99 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Cavaliers	59c	12,500$7,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,124.99	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7754…9709backed Pistons	34c	12,461$4,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,285	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	80c	12,072$9,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,471.25	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Cavaliers	62c	11,839$7,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,498.69	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Pistons	21c	11,132$2,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,291.52	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Cavaliers	62c	10,887$6,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,136.92	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Pistons	12c	10,409$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Pistons	28c	10,407$2,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,914.02	105	30.5%32 W · 73 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Cavaliers	60c	10,059$5,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,060.94	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Pistons	25c	10,000$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,510.03	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Cavaliers	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,800	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Pistons	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.99	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pistons	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,799.98	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,799.96	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers	59c	9,914$5,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,036.61	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Cavaliers	62c	9,887$6,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,757.06	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccef…2de3backed Pistons	26c	9,350$2,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,470.06	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Pistons	15c	9,138$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Pistons	42c	9,068$3,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,780.33	348	52.3%182 W · 166 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pistons	39c	8,981$3,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,502.44	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers	56c	8,719$4,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,836.51	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons	34c	8,645$2,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,953.1	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Pistons	10c	8,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Pistons	34c	8,000$2,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,720	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers	60c	7,860$4,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,144	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	64c	7,773$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,772.72	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Cavaliers	62c	7,742$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,941.94	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	65c	7,736$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,736.38	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Pistons	39c	7,692$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Pistons	40c	7,643$3,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,089.99	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons	31c	7,612$2,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,326.57	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e9…1644backed Cavaliers	67c	7,556$5,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,513.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…85ddbacked Pistons	26c	7,514$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+9.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Cavaliers	61c	7,440$4,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,901.6	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers	54c	7,436$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,436.27	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers	62c	7,374$4,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,802.14	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Pistons	31c	6,899$2,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120.7	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Pistons	10c	6,788$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.79	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Cavaliers	79c	6,680$5,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.16	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Pistons	39c	6,667$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Cavaliersthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event