TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea80…7296

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.12
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.74
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.12
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.32
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.79
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.25
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.25
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.62
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.75
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.39
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,044
Knicks vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.49
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.99
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.87
Hornets vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+275%+$1,100
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$273
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$554.54
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$463
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$231.58
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.23
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.61
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.54
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.55
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.07
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.71
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.02
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.49
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.17
Chicago Sky vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.86
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,449.8
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+566.7%+$1,785
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$945
Long Beach State Beach vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.08
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+208.5%+$352.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.28
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.81
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$317
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$219.55
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$818
Kansas State vs. Arizonabacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.79
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.58
Copa Colsanitas: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Julia Rierabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$705
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.