TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Phoenix Mercury, Golden State Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Phoenix Mercury45c19,998$8,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.1413950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Phoenix Mercury52c11,492$5,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9351050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Phoenix Mercury0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries53c7,008$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.721,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries54c6,679$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.0836154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Golden State Valkyries56c6,598$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.214763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Phoenix Mercury18c3,697$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.17110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries67c3,177$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.261,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Golden State Valkyries54c2,966$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.322751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Golden State Valkyries45c2,944$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Golden State Valkyries56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Golden State Valkyries73c1,858$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8913358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries54c1,775$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.4150952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Phoenix Mercury46c1,358$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.985862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Golden State Valkyries56c1,021$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.042653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Phoenix Mercury60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Phoenix Mercury10c991.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.912745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa164…4e82backed Phoenix Mercury26c899.63$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Phoenix Mercury34c878.08$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Phoenix Mercury19c669.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8822748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Phoenix Mercury47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.869354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Phoenix Mercury40c559.34$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.016237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x659f…c105backed Phoenix Mercury26c507.7$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Golden State Valkyries67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries55c376.64$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4929654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Golden State Valkyries54c351.95$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Phoenix Mercury36c343$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5115250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Phoenix Mercury41c337.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.055660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden State Valkyries74c321.64$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3714936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Golden State Valkyries53c307.6$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5714942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Phoenix Mercury46c301.88$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.875147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked Phoenix Mercury5c285.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Golden State Valkyries52c241.26$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury10c238.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1961042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Phoenix Mercury30c234.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4531847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Phoenix Mercury49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Golden State Valkyries54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9213745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Golden State Valkyries55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Phoenix Mercury47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9421337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Golden State Valkyries51c196.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.110923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries51c159.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9637850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Golden State Valkyries55c149.29$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.189044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Phoenix Mercury57c147.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Phoenix Mercury39c141.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.676127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x21ad…dffebacked Golden State Valkyries73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Golden State Valkyries54c124.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1113850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Golden State Valkyries65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Golden State Valkyries55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Golden State Valkyries71c116.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7710349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Phoenix Mercury45c112.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.552853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…2723backed Phoenix Mercury36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Phoenix Mercury45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010039%39 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Golden State Valkyries52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b8…cf1ebacked Phoenix Mercury48c104.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed Golden State Valkyries63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Phoenix Mercury13c94.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3618844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Golden State Valkyries43c88.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.742552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Golden State Valkyries78c88.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.34847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden State Valkyries79c87.03$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.285250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31d…fcc3backed Phoenix Mercury24c85.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a8…5de1backed Phoenix Mercury60c83.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Phoenix Mercury57c82.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Golden State Valkyries78c73.27$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.272475%18 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0328…f8ddbacked Phoenix Mercury23c70.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Phoenix Mercury43c68.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.444540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Golden State Valkyries54c64.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.954652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed Golden State Valkyries56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Phoenix Mercury27c61.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.719129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Golden State Valkyries57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Phoenix Mercury27c59.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.312045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Golden State Valkyries52c57.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.823948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7b…471cbacked Golden State Valkyries66c52.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Golden State Valkyries66c49.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7536454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f19…db92backed Phoenix Mercury44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Golden State Valkyries61c45.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5119646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fb…1c90backed Phoenix Mercury44c44.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Phoenix Mercury23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Golden State Valkyries54c42.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.836946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Phoenix Mercury47c41.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Phoenix Mercury48c41.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014944.3%66 W · 83 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Golden State Valkyries53c41.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Golden State Valkyries41c41.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.142339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Golden State Valkyries53c37.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Golden State Valkyries53c37.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Golden State Valkyries67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Golden State Valkyries55c35.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.954852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Phoenix Mercury46c32.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.017045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Golden State Valkyries55c32.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Golden State Valkyries55c30.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0848…503abacked Golden State Valkyries67c30.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.04862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Phoenix Mercury45c27.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.141050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfd…23aabacked Golden State Valkyries56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries69c23.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Golden State Valkyries72c20.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.77850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Golden State Valkyries56c18.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.222045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Golden State Valkyries56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.925463%34 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Golden State Valkyries79c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.