TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb390…642b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,884
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1,661 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+413.6%+$6,355.84
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$255.84
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.3
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 1,661 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14944.3%66 W · 83 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$29.77
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Libertybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempobacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$16.86
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Washington Nationals winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$17.46
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+91%+$18.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.