TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,033,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,484,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,033,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc11…eec6backed No54c12,575,521$6,750,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,825,008.975100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Yes47c1,680,000$789,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789,6002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes46c1,219,150$562,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562,600.4915456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked No53c1,192,778$626,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566,255.473759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes45c1,143,535$514,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514,389.0774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes48c1,100,000$522,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,499.9833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes48c731,406$350,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Yes11c700,000$76,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,937.21931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c660,684$288,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288,619.011,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes45c526,043$236,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,719.268440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed No53c499,995$264,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234,997.4915552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes46c450,600$207,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207,7959247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes46c414,443$189,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189,566.0942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No53c400,000$212,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,999.992774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes48c347,026$166,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,155.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes47c341,025$160,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,281.9642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c329,057$135,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,516.992,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c307,858$125,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,745.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes45c234,018$105,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,902.7577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c224,052$56,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,712.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes38c218,232$82,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,218.011,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes38c211,625$80,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,487.5917550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No53c210,401$112,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,378.7810740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes33c204,322$66,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,537.9424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes48c191,878$91,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,436.0121444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes45c181,818$81,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,818.120955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes46c166,666$76,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,666.3611647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No51c160,160$81,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,349.026546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked No53c158,566$83,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,846.571250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bdd…c4cbbacked No53c147,067$77,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,121.3988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick50cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No78c143,981$112,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,048.9415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No53c136,193$71,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,442.756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes47c134,043$63,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No51c124,999$63,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,249.597941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes47c124,000$58,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,59013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c110,333$85,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,104.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes41c109,780$45,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,075.1379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes46c103,949$48,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,270.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes48c102,000$48,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,959.975839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes36c100,556$36,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,51118047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes49c100,520$48,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,908.152,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Yes45c100,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,0003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No53c94,341$50,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,340.2411642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c87,163$40,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,737.411,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No52c79,999$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,399.756627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes48c75,001$35,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,700.532347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes48c75,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,00017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No75c74,321$55,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,820.7821738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes28c65,105$17,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,954.513742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c65,072$30,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,001.9976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No75c62,236$46,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,577.7931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Yes46c61,051$28,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,338.667851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes46c60,065$27,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,630.137839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Yes47c60,000$28,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,4002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed No52c57,817$30,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,752.047342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes36c56,294$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No52c54,970$28,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,462.9829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c54,527$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8632031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes46c53,823$24,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,758.5817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes47c53,191$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0004450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes45c52,514$23,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,673.691,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Yes47c50,698$23,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,685.9813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Yes46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,0004148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Yes47c45,000$21,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,1505263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes14c44,673$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Yes44c44,656$19,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,824.7522450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes36c41,645$14,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,992.1414843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes35c41,331$14,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,579.094734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes46c40,787$18,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,834.338734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes47c40,000$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,8007238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed Yes45c40,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes47c40,000$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,80016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes46c38,498$17,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,606.6836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes40c36,550$14,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,677.9836247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes47c36,165$16,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,997.553141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes45c35,202$15,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,864.4336031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes45c35,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,7505119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes47c34,852$16,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,380.2114727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Yes46c34,635$16,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,020.18349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1396…62b5backed Yes48c33,800$16,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,2244540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes45c33,220$14,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,938.038440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes14c32,144$4,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,581.5714715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,10027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No75c27,824$20,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,057.3133337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes40c27,483$10,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,986.582,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes36c27,402$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes22c27,363$6,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,145.6824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes47c27,320$12,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,840.21,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes47c27,192$12,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,780.211,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Yes46c25,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,6009451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes15c24,834$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,774.8722933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes43c24,517$10,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,541.7124146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c23,464$17,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,207.1742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899e…e8b7backed Yes39c23,254$9,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,119.591711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-82.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No53c22,614$12,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,555.216244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes21c22,522$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c22,346$11,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,711.191,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes49c22,082$10,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,820.046939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes39c21,308$8,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,323.0214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes48c21,291$10,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,316.745633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.