TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8a5…122b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+402.5%+$16,019.99
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88,671Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$52,454.01
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$132,812Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$155,909.71
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.43
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,077.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$7,140
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,831.17
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$148,999.14
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$108,999.3
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,652.49
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$93,999.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40,998.59
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52,237.44
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,250
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,999.84
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170,788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$156,111.9
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55,999.83
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82,005.83
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55,000
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+275%+$219,995.9
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79,866.04
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,700
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27,636Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28,764
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33,853Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20,748.58
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$2,392.64
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,554.01
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15,434
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$6,020
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$3,142
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,032
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,036.25
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+146.4%+$12,122.44
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,477
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,704Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2,047.9
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+37%+$2,870.88
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4,252.24
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3,263.35
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$4,410.76
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$9,754
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16,898
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$5,507
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,857Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$3,367.29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$5,125
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,090Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$6,287.36
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,470
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13,384Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7,534.48
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,070Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+170.3%+$12,038.11
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$5,502
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,949Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$3,571.29
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,558Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$9,880.89
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$670
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$6,410
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19,017Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5,055.15
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,045Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+208.5%+$8,432.09
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,686Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$722.69
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$8,321
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21,798Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+126.4%+$27,546.66
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,763.86
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,924.49
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$48.71
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,472Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+85%+$2,950.66
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,413Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+69.7%+$6,560.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.98
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,710.5
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+106.6%+$81.08
Lemos vs. Lucindobacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,157.52
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,783Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+38.3%+$1,065.66
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$140.84
Holland vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$152.04
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+36.1%+$58.45
Oezdemir vs. Ulbergbacked Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,576Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+43.7%+$688.17
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$4,192.6
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,932Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+28.5%+$2,828.24
Nickal vs. Craigbacked Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25,004Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+28.8%+$7,203.62
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$661.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12,282
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$9,721.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,482.59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,807.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,551.16
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42,858Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$75,067.3
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5,940.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$8,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,462
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$344.21
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,098.72
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$13.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34,539Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.8%+$10,967.58
Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$537.78
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,386.9
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$9,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$9,332.53
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$482.04
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$145.75
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$39,194.87
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$1,200
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78,798Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+65.4%+$51,562.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,000
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63,000
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59,022.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,207
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6,980.01
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,481Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$10,765.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,338
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,084
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-70.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$9,080.4
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16,844Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+71%+$11,964.88
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,073Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$3,684.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+193.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,957Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$7,753.1
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,281
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$9,888Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+525%+$51,912
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$5,168.35
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5,076.08
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$5,034.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25,167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$23,096.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.69
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,996.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,499.99
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$8,135.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,566
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$11,019.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,515Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$5,985
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+159.1%+$676.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,816Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,305.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.