NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3157ae1d5a1cc21da8f23e685e9bb7267676290def28ac20080f71d561a8ce43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Pelicans, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,439,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,422,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,439,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Pelicans | 26c | 197,875$51,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,273.68 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Heat | 74c | 113,051$84,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,954.86 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 27c | 56,546$15,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,263.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 27c | 53,472$14,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,437.57 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.95 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 27c | 39,815$10,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,562.23 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 75c | 28,487$21,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 27c | 28,091$7,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,511.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Heat | 74c | 27,571$20,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.81 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Pelicans | 1c | 25,466$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Pelicans | 27c | 22,098$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,966.48 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 23c | 20,908$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.83 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 75c | 19,556$14,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 26c | 18,987$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.62 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans | 26c | 17,939$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.14 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Heat | 75c | 17,643$13,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.55 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 74c | 15,474$11,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 1c | 13,602$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 16c | 12,812$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Heat | 74c | 12,551$9,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Pelicans | 27c | 11,615$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.01 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans | 1c | 11,046$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 74c | 10,490$7,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 73c | 10,232$7,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans | 24c | 10,001$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.24 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans | 1c | 9,724$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…4301backed Pelicans | 0c | 8,605$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Pelicans | 27c | 8,603$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.09 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Heat | 74c | 8,149$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.65 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pelicans | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans | 25c | 7,918$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.73 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans | 26c | 7,860$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.35 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Pelicans | 29c | 7,823$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Heat | 74c | 7,526$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans | 24c | 7,400$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Heat | 74c | 7,267$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.42 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Pelicans | 27c | 7,000$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.06 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Heat | 74c | 6,757$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.76 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Heat | 73c | 6,666$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.78 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Heat | 73c | 6,460$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.2 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Heat | 74c | 6,000$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans | 0c | 5,819$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 18c | 5,807$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.79 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Heat | 72c | 5,606$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.02 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pelicans | 24c | 5,575$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.27 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Pelicans | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans | 1c | 5,046$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Pelicans | 23c | 4,998$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…22b0backed Pelicans | 27c | 4,958$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Heat | 75c | 4,822$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.78 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 25c | 4,808$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.01 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 26c | 4,803$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfd…8447backed Heat | 73c | 4,696$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Pelicans | 21c | 4,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…71fabacked Pelicans | 27c | 4,680$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 73c | 4,310$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.56 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Pelicans | 12c | 4,118$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 0c | 4,096$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 74c | 4,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Heat | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.42 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Pelicans | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…ae03backed Heat | 73c | 3,568$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Heat | 73c | 3,401$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.25 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Heat | 74c | 3,300$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 26c | 3,214$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.59 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pelicans | 27c | 3,054$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.61 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 74c | 3,040$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.67 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Heat | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 8c | 2,799$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Pelicans | 32c | 2,787$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.84 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Pelicans | 26c | 2,735$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pelicans | 25c | 2,721$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.65 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 75c | 2,544$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 25c | 2,274$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 68c | 2,221$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.75 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans | 10c | 2,196$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 73c | 2,021$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Pelicans | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pelicans | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pelicans | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pelicans | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pelicans | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Heat | 74c | 1,993$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Pelicans | 2c | 1,970$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pelicans | 26c | 1,950$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,900$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Heat | 70c | 1,875$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.55 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…ae0cbacked Pelicans | 27c | 1,778$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Heat | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Pelicans | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Heat | 75c | 1,694$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.54 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heat | 69c | 1,667$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.22 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0299backed Heat | 79c | 1,645$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.77 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31d…df8abacked Pelicans | 27c | 1,616$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.38 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Heat | 73c | 1,604$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.14 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Pelicans | 24c | 1,554$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,519$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.94 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.