TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe5f…d795

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
649
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT27051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 270 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,679.98
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,259.96
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$598.53
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,001.3
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,080
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,130
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.99
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.93
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$886.14
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$499.04
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.9%+$332.84
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$36.14
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$495
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$143.22
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$870
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$118.17
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$750
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$854.48
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,484.98
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,319.99
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$750
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$480
Showing 25 of 270 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST14945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$297.5
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$600
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66.9
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$880
Stars vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$461.07
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$237.93
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$648
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$900
Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$210.32
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$800
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$62.45
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$764.38
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$540.42
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$900.53
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,750
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,060
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$920
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST11452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,380.47
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$795
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+100%+$199
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$131.15
Colts vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Spread: Vikings (-12.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Spread: Vikings (-11.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,030.68
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$949.99
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.45
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$720
Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,100
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$820
Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Lions vs. Bears: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$619.8
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,230
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$860
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,260
Jets vs. Bills: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$470.87
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$1,240
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST7448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$959.99
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$959.99
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$980
Virginia vs. Missouri: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$158.02
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$580
Spread: Georgia (-2.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$114.9
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+106.2%+$1,030
Spread: Illinois (-6.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico Statebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+150%+$21.86
Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri Statebacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$570
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,599.99
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee: O/U 65.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Wake Forest vs. Dukebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$450
LSU vs. Oklahoma: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
Spread: Oklahoma (-10.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$270
Spread: Missouri (-3.5)backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$201.89
O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200.41
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-4.5)backed UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$490
UTEP vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$350
UTEP vs. Delaware Blue Hens: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25,776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9,056.31
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$855
Davidson Wildcats vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$319.99
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$430
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$765
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+177.8%+$273.45
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$714.12
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,140
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$650
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$399.99
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$235
UMBC Retrievers vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.1%+$920.32
NJIT Highlanders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$767.85
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$30.62
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$995.5
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-17.5)backed Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$126.47
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-3.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$470
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96
UCLA Bruins vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.57
San Francisco Dons vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$256.57
Pacific Tigers vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$47.31
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,363
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+35.7%+$1,787.11
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,018Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+35.1%+$1,763.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariano vs Jungleman: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Jungleman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+82.5%+$175.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.