TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,281,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,554,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,281,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 8,880 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots28c3,531,245$998,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998,896.7716955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Seahawks69c3,411,708$2,344,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067,137.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Patriots32c2,404,654$780,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780,460.023040%12 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Seahawks68c1,649,999$1,122,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527,999.127554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Seahawks68c1,588,437$1,073,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514,993.2627454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Patriots31c1,079,999$340,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340,162.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Seahawks68c938,495$638,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300,318.481656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Patriots33c874,115$284,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284,969.8753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots29c865,940$249,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249,899.7812055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots30c787,792$236,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,163.3247348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Patriots32c734,000$234,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234,988.2110333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks69c649,284$447,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,469.9930043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Seahawks67c631,920$425,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206,175.124057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Seahawks68c597,247$405,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,868.9324957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Seahawks68c549,999$373,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,999.71662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed Seahawks68c544,147$370,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,126.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Patriots32c500,000$160,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,0005154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks67c499,998$334,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,999.2517454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Seahawks68c478,357$323,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,074.327951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Seahawks68c433,649$294,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,767.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Patriots33c358,705$118,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,222.653033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc443…f19fbacked Patriots32c348,004$111,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,597.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Patriots29c273,223$78,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,832.422450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Patriots30c263,141$80,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,111.032744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Patriots31c256,388$79,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,626.1353253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots15c224,739$32,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,871.7147738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Seahawks68c214,239$145,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,603.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Seahawks68c210,058$142,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,218.53050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Patriots11c204,689$22,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,609.528747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Patriots26c200,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0003548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Patriots32c199,999$64,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,999.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5def…b417backed Patriots0c192,359$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Seahawks68c164,045$111,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,494.722638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Seahawks66c159,070$105,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,617.7712944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade5…0113backed Patriots32c156,500$50,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,408.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Patriots31c150,000$46,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,500922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cbf…6cf0backed Seahawks68c147,057$99,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,058.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Seahawks69c145,851$100,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,213.682161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Patriots32c144,614$46,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,420.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Patriots32c140,625$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Seahawks79c136,676$107,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,8335453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed Seahawks68c125,000$85,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,0001030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Seahawks75c122,814$91,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,255.596459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d02…3d5cbacked Patriots33c121,255$40,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,014.081040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x205b…6b72backed Patriots33c120,000$39,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e98…c0cdbacked Patriots31c118,368$36,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,886.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…7371backed Patriots33c118,182$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Patriots32c113,932$36,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,018.772450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0d…dfa4backed Patriots33c113,281$37,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,382.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…bfbbbacked Patriots1c111,971$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Seahawks67c104,055$70,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,838.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Patriots31c103,767$32,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,167.76319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-81.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Patriots33c103,033$34,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,000.7618650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Seahawks68c102,000$69,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,639.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed6…5e0dbacked Patriots0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots32c96,301$30,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,702.8730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7396…d207backed Patriots34c96,047$32,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,559.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Seahawks69c92,672$63,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,728.467655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Seahawks68c92,139$62,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,919.5111544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Seahawks68c86,807$59,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,778.157153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks70c86,733$61,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,610.2773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Patriots1c86,000$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9461421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x857a…d442backed Patriots32c81,201$25,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,984.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5724…db19backed Seahawks69c81,174$56,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,163.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Patriots32c80,000$25,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,6001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Patriots32c78,125$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20f3…1c81backed Patriots33c75,727$24,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,989.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Patriots17c75,634$13,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,196.523244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Seahawks71c75,405$53,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,518.4420755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Seahawks68c74,500$50,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,840475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Patriots32c71,602$22,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,912.52740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots32c69,041$22,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,093.131,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Patriots1c65,778$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.487733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Seahawks67c65,295$43,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,500.3916860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fec…2b67backed Patriots32c65,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,799.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd1d…2190backed Patriots9c61,728$5,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,792.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Seahawks68c61,382$41,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,642.352657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Seahawks67c60,800$40,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0646764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Patriots33c60,606$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Seahawks72c60,056$43,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,056.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa243…6080backed Patriots25c59,588$14,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,633.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Seahawks75c59,322$44,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,927.3614349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed Seahawks69c59,265$40,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,422.173562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5c…2b1cbacked Patriots33c57,879$19,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked Seahawks67c56,000$37,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,479.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Patriots32c53,000$16,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,960250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Seahawks68c52,792$35,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,893.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Patriots7c52,509$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de2…e6c9backed Patriots33c50,909$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,80020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ef…d780backed Seahawks69c50,854$34,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,864.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Patriots31c50,485$15,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,650.432035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Patriots17c50,094$8,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,515.986451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Patriots31c50,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,50031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc706…76c5backed Patriots19c50,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Seahawks68c50,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0462…cddebacked Patriots33c50,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,50060%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4314…bb3dbacked Patriots0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Seahawks68c50,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,999.946219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Seahawks67c50,000$33,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,449.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Patriots32c49,999$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.661428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.