NFL · resolved market
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad40655ed33cd0ea9562e4648ce81cce64f1c683ae7ed75a67e3517463ee4907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad4…acd7backed Yes | 52c | 78,000$40,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 48c | 70,387$33,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,601.12 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 72c | 9,532$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.38 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed No | 50c | 9,000$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Yes | 56c | 7,000$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 49c | 6,738$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 45c | 6,195$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 49c | 5,068$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 48c | 4,372$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.98 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 49c | 4,264$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.6 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 48c | 4,017$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.39 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…bae3backed Yes | 21c | 3,227$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…8a09backed No | 79c | 3,116$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 46c | 2,405$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.03 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…bd8bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,376$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…6c9fbacked No | 79c | 2,357$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…f4e1backed No | 49c | 2,016$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 51c | 1,949$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 50c | 1,705$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8274…89bbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,655$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…722fbacked No | 79c | 1,649$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 50c | 1,522$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.88 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 1,508$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.51 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 46c | 1,239$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.39 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Yes | 31c | 1,225$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc673…175fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,171$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…5deebacked No | 79c | 1,081$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked No | 2c | 1,018$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.92 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Yes | 43c | 1,011$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…009cbacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 54c | 928.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 926$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.22 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8898…86b2backed Yes | 53c | 878.17$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 74c | 828.25$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 52c | 669.23$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 49c | 619.98$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 57c | 526.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 25c | 503.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…1045backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 499.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 499.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 49c | 459.69$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 54c | 394.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…b8e3backed Yes | 52c | 384.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…0dd3backed Yes | 53c | 375.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…994cbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 47c | 369.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 78c | 357.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…9a1cbacked No | 79c | 344.1$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Yes | 52c | 321.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 55c | 318.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Yes | 51c | 292.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…4366backed Yes | 5c | 276.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 51c | 250.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 50c | 238.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 45c | 235.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 224.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 47c | 224$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Yes | 34c | 204.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…4b5ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…f121backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…abd0backed Yes | 52c | 193.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…fc44backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…1366backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…a6f9backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3eedbacked Yes | 57c | 156.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…32a4backed Yes | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 148.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked No | 51c | 140.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…8ce9backed Yes | 52c | 135.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…de64backed Yes | 52c | 128.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7da…95e3backed Yes | 21c | 118.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 51c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 52c | 115.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Yes | 52c | 108.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Yes | 55c | 105.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 50c | 104.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Yes | 54c | 104$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…9ef4backed Yes | 33c | 102.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0047…1655backed Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownthis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.