TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Mack Hollins: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,937 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50c3…ace1backed Yes18c903.59$159 inWon+$744.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+411%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No79c734.24$580 inLost-$580.0513756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes18c727$131 inWon+$596.143447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon+$376.195234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72b2…52b3backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon+$213.167739%30 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c7…4f5ebacked Yes19c188.95$36 inWon+$153.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e4…92bbbacked Yes21c153$32 inWon+$121.012166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Yes19c131.58$25 inWon+$106.585238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes19c131.58$25 inWon+$106.583231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa662…5b38backed Yes18c120$22 inWon+$98.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes18c100$18 inWon+$821838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb4…b0bbbacked Yes13c100$13 inWon+$87.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+108.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5c…99ecbacked Yes18c100$18 inWon+$82.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+280.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe31e…54c7backed Yes20c99.83$20 inWon+$79.831050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+65.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c0…ea7fbacked Yes21c96.67$20 inWon+$76.672142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes14c79.02$11 inWon+$67.963658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4c0…09dcbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inWon+$56.43633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+164.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No79c71.43$56 inLost-$56.4310346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…76a2backed Yes18c56.54$10 inWon+$46.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No80c30$24 inLost-$2434247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No80c14$11 inLost-$11.25479.6%43 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.