TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,194 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c10,756$7,629 inLost-$7,629.2883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bd…238ebacked Yes29c5,054$1,466 inWon+$3,588.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes29c3,362$977 inWon+$2,385.433033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Yes29c862.07$250 inWon+$612.073860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2be…0dd3backed Yes29c486.21$141 inWon+$345.211127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No71c412.78$293 inLost-$293.071877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Yes29c341.38$99 inWon+$242.384940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No72c341$246 inLost-$245.523625%9 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon+$233.3311740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19e6…a14dbacked Yes26c196.8$51 inWon+$145.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed No72c164.88$119 inLost-$118.712937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No69c144.9$100 inLost-$99.9810346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…ab2cbacked Yes29c138.62$40 inWon+$98.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes30c133.33$40 inWon+$93.3317547.4%83 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe073…871ebacked Yes30c127.77$38 inWon+$89.44540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729e…1a7abacked Yes28c114.29$32 inWon+$82.291346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No68c100$68 inLost-$6813065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes29c100$29 inWon+$711838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked Yes30c97.24$29 inWon+$68.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No49c90$44 inLost-$43.8734247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…2e7fbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inWon+$64.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon+$61.212326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inWon+$58.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0713…49edbacked Yes31c80.65$25 inWon+$55.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon+$46.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+255.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…d101backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon+$46.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+181.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes43c65.52$28 inWon+$37.315044%22 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8842…834ebacked Yes29c57$17 inWon+$40.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No70c52.36$37 inLost-$36.721931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes79c50$40 inWon+$10.52450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes30c50$15 inWon+$3537556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7b…4229backed No21c50$11 inLost-$10.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe151…c591backed Yes28c43.03$12 inWon+$31.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x959b…e377backed Yes30c35$11 inWon+$24.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed No72c24.21$17 inLost-$17.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.